Albania Superliga · Full time ·Matchday 2

Skenderbeu Korce vs Dinamo Tirana

0 – 1 Full time

7′S. Meta
30′E. Hoxhallari
36′B. DitaA. Alhassan
46′K. GrazhdaniS. Nasr
46′S. MetaE. Qardaku
60′K. VangjeliM. Doda
64′E. Qardaku
65′M. Doda
71′A. DialloS. Abubakar
73′M. AyodejiF. Farruku
73′R. Silva-RichardsI. Mustapha
76′L. VilaI. Manellari
86′K. Shaqe
88′E. Qardaku
88′E. Qardaku
89′D. JanaqiE. Totre
90′F. Farruku
Skenderbeu Korce 37%
Draw 29%
Dinamo Tirana 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Skenderbeu Korce vs Dinamo Tirana overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Skenderbeu Korce vs Dinamo Tirana

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySkenderbeu KorceDrawDinamo Tirana
Model42.8%26.2%31.1%
Market35.1%29.9%34.9%
Final37.0%29.0%34.0%
Edge+7.6%-3.8%-3.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Skenderbeu Korce

  • The market prices Skenderbeu Korce below the model: +7.6 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Skenderbeu Kor ↓ / Dinamo Tirana → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 12% 8% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 58%
No goals 6%

Skenderbeu Korce and Dinamo Tirana expected goals

Skenderbeu Korce 1.64
Dinamo Tirana 1.39

Total expected goals: 3.02

Skenderbeu Korce and Dinamo Tirana attack and defence ratings

Skenderbeu Korce

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 1.13 +13%

Dinamo Tirana

Attack 1.25 +25%
Defence 1.16 +16%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Skenderbeu Korce vs Dinamo Tirana: result vs prediction

Skenderbeu Korce 0 – 1 Dinamo Tirana

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 2 fixtures

Albania Superliga

Before and after this match

Skenderbeu Korce vs Dinamo Tirana markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Skenderbeu Korce 37.0% 2.70 +7.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58.2% 1.72 — —
Both teams to score Yes 61.5% 1.63 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.0% 1.41 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.6% 1.74 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Skenderbeu Korce37.0%
Draw29.0%
Dinamo Tirana34.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558.2%
Under 2.541.8%
Both teams to scoreYes61.5%
No38.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.0%
12 (either side)71.0%
X2 (draw or away)63.0%
Handicap -1Skenderbeu Korce win22.3%
Push (exactly one goal)20.0%
Loss57.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.1%
2-19.1%
1-27.6%

Skenderbeu Korce vs Dinamo Tirana stats

Skenderbeu Korce and Dinamo Tirana recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.

Skenderbeu Korce vs Dinamo Tirana head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Skenderbeu Korce wins 2Draws 5Dinamo Tirana wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-03-30Skenderbeu KorceDinamo TiranaSuperliga4-1
2025-02-26Skenderbeu KorceDinamo TiranaCup0-4
2025-02-06Dinamo TiranaSkenderbeu KorceCup0-2
2025-02-01Dinamo TiranaSkenderbeu KorceSuperliga1-1
2024-11-23Skenderbeu KorceDinamo TiranaSuperliga2-2
2024-09-16Dinamo TiranaSkenderbeu KorceSuperliga2-1
2024-03-30Dinamo TiranaSkenderbeu KorceSuperliga2-0
2024-02-21Skenderbeu KorceDinamo TiranaSuperliga0-1
2023-10-31Dinamo TiranaSkenderbeu KorceSuperliga2-1
2023-09-01Skenderbeu KorceDinamo TiranaSuperliga1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Skenderbeu Korce vs Dinamo Tirana odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 35.1%, draw 29.9%, away 34.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.55 3.00 2.55
1xBet 2.56 3.00 2.57
Bet365 2.55 3.00 2.55
Betano 2.52 3.05 2.57
Betfair 2.60 3.00 2.55
Dafabet 2.55 3.15 2.60
Marathonbet 2.56 3.00 2.57
Superbet 2.57 3.15 2.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.55 ▼ -0.01
X 3.00 —
2 2.57 —

3 snapshots recorded, from .