Albania Superliga
·
Full time
·Matchday 2
AF Elbasani
vs
Vllaznia Shkodër
1 – 1 Full time
AF Elbasani
60%
Draw
23%
Vllaznia Shkodër
17%
AF Elbasani vs Vllaznia Shkodër overview
Garuda Lions analysis: AF Elbasani vs Vllaznia Shkodër
| Probability | AF Elbasani | Draw | Vllaznia Shkodër |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.3% | 22.6% | 17.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 60.3% | 22.6% | 17.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why AF Elbasani
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.06 vs 1.03.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
82%
3+ goals
60%
No goals
6%
AF Elbasani and Vllaznia Shkodër expected goals
AF Elbasani
2.06
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.03
Total expected goals: 3.09
AF Elbasani and Vllaznia Shkodër attack and defence ratings
AF Elbasani
Attack
1.16 +16%
Defence
1.21 +21%
Vllaznia Shkodër
Attack
0.88 -12%
Defence
1.43 +43%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
AF Elbasani vs Vllaznia Shkodër: result vs prediction
AF Elbasani 1 – 1 Vllaznia Shkodër
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
AF Elbasani vs Vllaznia Shkodër markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AF Elbasani | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AF Elbasani | 60.3% |
| Draw | 22.6% | |
| Vllaznia Shkodër | 17.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.9% |
| No | 43.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 39.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | AF Elbasani win | 37.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 39.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.7% |
AF Elbasani vs Vllaznia Shkodër stats
AF Elbasani and Vllaznia Shkodër recent form
| AF Elbasani |
DDDWWL |
| Vllaznia Shkodër |
DLWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
AF Elbasani vs Vllaznia Shkodër head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3AF Elbasani wins
4Draws
3Vllaznia Shkodër wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Vllaznia Shkodër | AF Elbasani | Albania Superliga | 1-2 |
| 2026-04-27 | AF Elbasani | Vllaznia Shkodër | Albania Superliga | 3-1 |
| 2026-02-15 | Vllaznia Shkodër | AF Elbasani | Albania Superliga | 2-1 |
| 2025-12-08 | AF Elbasani | Vllaznia Shkodër | Albania Superliga | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Vllaznia Shkodër | AF Elbasani | Albania Superliga | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-19 | AF Elbasani | Vllaznia Shkodër | Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2025-02-25 | Vllaznia Shkodër | AF Elbasani | Cup | 3-3 |
| 2025-02-21 | Vllaznia Shkodër | AF Elbasani | Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2025-02-05 | AF Elbasani | Vllaznia Shkodër | Cup | 0-0 |
| 2024-12-08 | AF Elbasani | Vllaznia Shkodër | Superliga | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.