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Albania Superliga · Full time ·Matchday 1

Laci vs AF Elbasani

1 – 1 Full time

Laci 35%
Draw 29%
AF Elbasani 36%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Laci vs AF Elbasani overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Laci vs AF Elbasani

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLaciDrawAF Elbasani
Model44.7%27.9%27.4%
Market31.2%29.8%39.0%
Final34.6%29.3%36.1%
Edge+13.5%-1.9%-11.6%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Laci ↓ / AF Elbasani → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 7% 1 9% 13% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Laci and AF Elbasani expected goals

Laci 1.52
AF Elbasani 1.15

Total expected goals: 2.67

Laci and AF Elbasani attack and defence ratings

Laci

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

AF Elbasani

Attack 1.18 +18%
Defence 1.22 +22%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Laci vs AF Elbasani: result vs prediction

Laci 1 – 1 AF Elbasani

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 1 fixtures

Albania Superliga

Before and after this match

Laci vs AF Elbasani markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 AF Elbasani 36.1% 2.77 -11.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.0% 2.00 — —
Both teams to score Yes 54.6% 1.83 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.7% 1.41 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 72.6% 1.38 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Laci34.6%
Draw29.3%
AF Elbasani36.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.0%
Under 2.550.0%
Both teams to scoreYes54.6%
No45.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)63.9%
12 (either side)70.7%
X2 (draw or away)65.4%
Handicap -1AF Elbasani win11.4%
Push (exactly one goal)16.0%
Loss72.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.3%
1-09.3%
2-19.2%

Laci vs AF Elbasani stats

Laci and AF Elbasani recent form

newest first
Laci no matches on record
AF Elbasani DDWWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Laci vs AF Elbasani head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Laci vs AF Elbasani odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 31.2%, draw 29.8%, away 39.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.88 3.04 2.35
Bet365 2.90 3.00 2.30
Betano 2.82 3.05 2.32
Betfair 3.00 3.00 2.30
Dafabet 2.90 3.10 2.30
Marathonbet 2.82 3.04 2.33
Superbet 2.92 3.10 2.35

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.