AEL
vs
Anorthosis
2 – 0 Full time
| 33′ | Andreas Chrysostomou | ||
| 42′ | H. Catakovic | ||
| 46′ | A. KaroD. M. Ribeiro Gomes | ||
| 46′ | H. CatakovicCafu | ||
| 50′ | Y. Gomis | ||
| 57′ | C. AboagyeT. Kiss | ||
| 57′ | S. ThandiK. Sergiou | ||
| 67′ | Cafú | ||
| 72′ | Yoëll van Nieff | ||
| 75′ | Y. GomisS. Jovetic | ||
| 79′ | Rafa LopesE. Charalambous | ||
| 79′ | M. IliaS. Middendorp | ||
| 81′ | F. R. MugheJ. Tavares | ||
| 81′ | G. PapageorgiouSergio Conceicao | ||
| 85′ | Gabriel FurtadoA. Karamanolis | ||
| 90′ | Sérgio Conceição |
AEL vs Anorthosis overview
Garuda Lions analysis: AEL vs Anorthosis
| Probability | AEL | Draw | Anorthosis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.6% | 29.0% | 44.5% |
| Market | 47.4% | 26.7% | 25.9% |
| Final | 42.2% | 27.3% | 30.6% |
| Edge | -20.8% | +2.3% | +18.6% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
AEL and Anorthosis expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.49
AEL and Anorthosis attack and defence ratings
AEL
Anorthosis
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
AEL vs Anorthosis: result vs prediction
AEL 2 – 0 Anorthosis
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
AEL vs Anorthosis markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AEL | 42.2% | 2.37 | -20.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.5% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.7% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AEL | 42.2% |
| Draw | 27.3% | |
| Anorthosis | 30.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.0% |
| No | 49.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | AEL win | 10.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.0% | |
| Loss | 73.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 0-1 | 10.6% | |
| 0-0 | 9.5% |
AEL vs Anorthosis stats
AEL and Anorthosis recent form
| AEL |
WLDLWW |
| Anorthosis |
LWWWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
AEL vs Anorthosis head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-27 | AEL | Anorthosis | Cyprus 1. Division | 0-1 |
| 2026-01-25 | Anorthosis | AEL | Cyprus 1. Division | 2-1 |
| 2025-10-04 | AEL | Anorthosis | Cyprus 1. Division | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
AEL vs Anorthosis odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.4%, draw 26.7%, away 25.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.97 | 3.48 | 3.58 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| Betano | 1.98 | 3.55 | 3.55 |
| Betfair | 1.90 | 3.30 | 3.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.98 | 3.50 | 3.45 |
| Marathonbet | 1.95 | 3.48 | 3.58 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .