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Cyprus 1. Division · Full time ·Matchday 2

Apoel Nicosia vs AEL

6 – 0 Full time

10′Marquinhos
20′F. Pedrozo
21′Joan Sastre
32′João Tavares
35′Ioannis Avramidis
55′Cafú
57′Luther Singh
61′K. Stafylidis
63′F. R. MugheJ. Tavares
70′J. TavaresD. Zdravkovski
70′S. JoveticB. Almeida
72′D. LimniosGabriel Maioli
72′F. DjuricicS. Georgiou
72′I. AvramidisF. Perez
74′Sérgio Conceição
79′Gabriel Maioli
81′MarquinhosA. Barak
81′L. SinghD. Paroutis
81′A. KaroD. M. Ribeiro Gomes
84′F. Pedrozo
90′F. PedrozoM. Filippidis
90′F. Perez

GSP Stadium, NicosiaReferee: P. Chatzigeorgiou

Apoel Nicosia 43%
Draw 27%
AEL 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Apoel Nicosia vs AEL overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Apoel Nicosia vs AEL

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityApoel NicosiaDrawAEL
Model21.1%26.7%52.2%
Market51.0%26.9%22.1%
Final43.5%26.9%29.7%
Edge-29.9%-0.2%+30.1%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Apoel Nicosia ↓ / AEL → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 11% 10% 1 13% 10% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 49%
No goals 8%

Apoel Nicosia and AEL expected goals

Apoel Nicosia 0.98
AEL 1.66

Total expected goals: 2.64

Apoel Nicosia and AEL attack and defence ratings

Apoel Nicosia

Attack 0.71 -29%
Defence 1.34 +34%

AEL

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Apoel Nicosia vs AEL: result vs prediction

Apoel Nicosia 6 – 0 AEL

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 2 fixtures

Cyprus 1. Division

Before and after this match

Apoel Nicosia vs AEL markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Apoel Nicosia 43.5% 2.30 -29.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.9% 1.97 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.7% 1.93 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.1% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 78.9% 1.27 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Apoel Nicosia43.5%
Draw26.9%
AEL29.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549.1%
Under 2.550.9%
Both teams to scoreYes51.7%
No48.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.3%
12 (either side)73.1%
X2 (draw or away)56.5%
Handicap -1Apoel Nicosia win7.8%
Push (exactly one goal)13.3%
Loss78.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.8%
0-110.7%
0-29.9%

Apoel Nicosia vs AEL stats

Apoel Nicosia and AEL recent form

newest first
Apoel Nicosia LLLLLW
AEL WWLDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Apoel Nicosia vs AEL head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Apoel Nicosia wins 2Draws 2AEL wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-28AELApoel NicosiaCyprus 1. Division2-3
2025-11-23Apoel NicosiaAELCyprus 1. Division1-2
2025-02-16AELApoel Nicosia1. Division1-2
2024-11-10Apoel NicosiaAEL1. Division4-0
2024-02-11AELApoel Nicosia1. Division1-1
2023-11-11Apoel NicosiaAEL1. Division1-0
2023-01-08AELApoel Nicosia1. Division1-0
2022-10-02Apoel NicosiaAEL1. Division0-0
2022-02-06AELApoel Nicosia1. Division2-3
2021-11-06Apoel NicosiaAEL1. Division3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Apoel Nicosia vs AEL odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 50.7%, draw 27.1%, away 22.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.82 3.44 4.29
Bet365 1.83 3.50 4.10
BetVictor 1.80 3.40 4.10
Betano 1.85 3.40 4.20
Betfair 1.70 3.50 4.33
Dafabet 1.88 3.35 4.00
Marathonbet 1.80 3.44 4.30
Pinnacle 1.81 3.43 4.26
SBO 1.84 3.01 3.41
William Hill 1.85 3.10 3.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.81 ▲ +0.28
X 3.44 ▼ -0.46
2 4.18 ▼ -1.09

11 snapshots recorded, from .