Aris
vs
Omonia Nicosia
1 – 4 Full time
| 5′ | L. Diony | ||
| 19′ | Alex Opoku Sarfo | ||
| 32′ | Anderson Correia | ||
| 34′ | Mihlali Mayambela | ||
| 46′ | M. MayambelaCosta Ewandro | ||
| 49′ | L. Satka | ||
| 53′ | R. Effaghe | ||
| 57′ | L. Diony | ||
| 59′ | Steeve Yago | ||
| 61′ | G. KaluluL. Maras | ||
| 63′ | J. BalkovecA. Christou | ||
| 63′ | M. TankovicL. Brouwers | ||
| 63′ | L. DionyF. Tanase | ||
| 69′ | J. MontnorA. Kakoullis | ||
| 70′ | S. YagoM. Sane | ||
| 70′ | Gustavo PajeD. Gaustad | ||
| 74′ | L. Brouwers | ||
| 75′ | R. EffagheO. Lebi | ||
| 75′ | WertonB. Szakos |
Aris vs Omonia Nicosia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Aris vs Omonia Nicosia
| Probability | Aris | Draw | Omonia Nicosia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 20.3% | 24.5% | 55.2% |
| Market | 30.7% | 26.4% | 42.9% |
| Final | 28.1% | 25.9% | 46.0% |
| Edge | -10.4% | -1.9% | +12.3% |
Why Omonia Nicosia
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.89 vs 1.08.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Omonia Nicosia below the model: +12.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Aris and Omonia Nicosia expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.96
Aris and Omonia Nicosia attack and defence ratings
Aris
Omonia Nicosia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Aris vs Omonia Nicosia: result vs prediction
Aris 1 – 4 Omonia Nicosia
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Aris vs Omonia Nicosia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Omonia Nicosia | 46.0% | 2.18 | +12.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aris | 28.1% |
| Draw | 25.9% | |
| Omonia Nicosia | 46.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.9% |
| No | 43.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 54.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Omonia Nicosia win | 32.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 44.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.6% |
| 1-2 | 9.9% | |
| 0-2 | 9.2% |
Aris vs Omonia Nicosia stats
Aris and Omonia Nicosia recent form
| Aris |
DLLLWL |
| Omonia Nicosia |
DWLWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Aris vs Omonia Nicosia head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Omonia Nicosia | Aris | Cyprus 1. Division | 3-0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Aris | Omonia Nicosia | Cyprus 1. Division | 2-2 |
| 2026-01-25 | Aris | Omonia Nicosia | Cyprus 1. Division | 3-5 |
| 2025-10-05 | Omonia Nicosia | Aris | Cyprus 1. Division | 0-0 |
| 2025-05-12 | Aris | Omonia Nicosia | 1. Division | 3-3 |
| 2025-04-06 | Omonia Nicosia | Aris | 1. Division | 2-1 |
| 2025-01-19 | Omonia Nicosia | Aris | 1. Division | 0-0 |
| 2024-10-06 | Aris | Omonia Nicosia | 1. Division | 2-0 |
| 2024-04-17 | Omonia Nicosia | Aris | Cup | 0-0 |
| 2024-04-10 | Aris | Omonia Nicosia | Cup | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Aris vs Omonia Nicosia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.7%, draw 26.4%, away 42.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.95 | 3.40 | 2.15 |
| 1xBet | 3.19 | 3.62 | 2.07 |
| Bet365 | 3.20 | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.10 |
| Betano | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.22 |
| Betfair | 2.90 | 3.60 | 2.05 |
| Dafabet | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.18 |
| Marathonbet | 3.18 | 3.62 | 2.05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.97 | 3.72 | 2.12 |
| SBO | 2.80 | 3.21 | 2.08 |
| Superbet | 3.00 | 3.55 | 2.20 |
| Unibet | 2.55 | 3.30 | 2.18 |
| William Hill | 2.88 | 3.40 | 2.15 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .