Nea Salamis
vs
AEK Larnaca
1 – 4 Full time
| 19′ | D. Ivanovic | ||
| 30′ | Jorge Miramón | ||
| 34′ | D. Ivanovic | ||
| 35′ | A. ConfaisB. Konate | ||
| 38′ | Brahim Konaté | ||
| 45′ | E. SaboritM. van der Hoorn | ||
| 46′ | V. LampropoulosP. Artymatas | ||
| 46′ | AldairK. Angielski | ||
| 54′ | R. Bajic | ||
| 55′ | G. GerolemouS. Grandsir | ||
| 57′ | A. LayouniY. Chacon | ||
| 57′ | I. PankovS. Kohler | ||
| 59′ | Y. Chacon | ||
| 60′ | D. PovedaB. M. Manu | ||
| 77′ | R. BajicA. Trica | ||
| 77′ | J. RepasK. Mrabti | ||
| 90′ | S. Grandsir |
Nea Salamis vs AEK Larnaca overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Nea Salamis vs AEK Larnaca
| Probability | Nea Salamis | Draw | AEK Larnaca |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.2% | 24.3% | 38.5% |
| Market | 18.0% | 24.6% | 57.4% |
| Final | 22.8% | 24.5% | 52.7% |
| Edge | +19.2% | -0.3% | -18.9% |
Why AEK Larnaca
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Nea Salamis and AEK Larnaca expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.47
Nea Salamis and AEK Larnaca attack and defence ratings
Nea Salamis
AEK Larnaca
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Nea Salamis vs AEK Larnaca: result vs prediction
Nea Salamis 1 – 4 AEK Larnaca
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Nea Salamis vs AEK Larnaca markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AEK Larnaca | 52.7% | 1.90 | -18.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 77.2% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nea Salamis | 22.8% |
| Draw | 24.5% | |
| AEK Larnaca | 52.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.7% |
| No | 31.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 47.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 77.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | AEK Larnaca win | 20.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.0% | |
| Loss | 61.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.3% |
| 1-2 | 8.2% | |
| 2-1 | 8.1% |
Nea Salamis vs AEK Larnaca stats
Nea Salamis and AEK Larnaca recent form
| Nea Salamis |
D |
| AEK Larnaca |
WWLWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.
Nea Salamis vs AEK Larnaca head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-12 | AEK Larnaca | Nea Salamis | 1. Division | 2-0 |
| 2024-09-27 | Nea Salamis | AEK Larnaca | 1. Division | 1-3 |
| 2024-01-12 | Nea Salamis | AEK Larnaca | 1. Division | 0-1 |
| 2023-09-30 | AEK Larnaca | Nea Salamis | 1. Division | 1-1 |
| 2023-01-11 | Nea Salamis | AEK Larnaca | Cup | 4-0 |
| 2022-12-21 | Nea Salamis | AEK Larnaca | 1. Division | 0-2 |
| 2022-09-11 | AEK Larnaca | Nea Salamis | 1. Division | 1-0 |
| 2020-12-13 | AEK Larnaca | Nea Salamis | 1. Division | 1-0 |
| 2020-08-24 | Nea Salamis | AEK Larnaca | 1. Division | 1-2 |
| 2020-02-23 | AEK Larnaca | Nea Salamis | 1. Division | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Nea Salamis vs AEK Larnaca odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 17.9%, draw 24.5%, away 57.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.34 | 3.78 | 1.61 |
| Bet365 | 4.75 | 3.75 | 1.65 |
| BetVictor | 5.00 | 3.75 | 1.60 |
| Betano | 5.50 | 3.70 | 1.62 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 3.90 | 1.53 |
| Dafabet | 5.40 | 3.80 | 1.58 |
| Marathonbet | 5.40 | 3.78 | 1.59 |
| Pinnacle | 5.26 | 3.75 | 1.61 |
| SBO | 4.70 | 3.45 | 1.51 |
| William Hill | 5.00 | 3.50 | 1.57 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .