Cyprus 1. Division · Full time ·Matchday 2

Pafos vs Olympiakos

0 – 0 Full time

37′Márk Tamás
46′A. LolisJean Felipe
54′A. VrikkisZ. Savva
57′D. QuinaBruno
57′GugaI. Sunjic
64′Ken Sema
66′K. SemaA. Patrao
66′Anderson SilvaLele
67′G. OkkasC. Christou
78′R. SappinenNhayson
83′Bruno Paz

Stelios Kyriakides Stadium, PafosReferee: T. Sofokleous

Pafos 64%
Draw 21%
Olympiakos 15%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Pafos vs Olympiakos overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Pafos vs Olympiakos

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPafosDrawOlympiakos
Model58.4%21.9%19.8%
Market66.0%20.2%13.8%
Final64.1%20.6%15.3%
Edge-7.6%+1.7%+6.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Pafos

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.19 vs 1.23.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Pafos ↓ / Olympiakos → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 10% 5% 2 8% 10% 6% 3 6% 7% 4+ 5% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 66%
No goals 4%

Pafos and Olympiakos expected goals

Pafos 2.19
Olympiakos 1.23

Total expected goals: 3.42

Pafos and Olympiakos attack and defence ratings

Pafos

Attack 1.31 +31%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Olympiakos

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 1.13 +13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Pafos vs Olympiakos: result vs prediction

Pafos 0 – 0 Olympiakos

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 2 fixtures

Cyprus 1. Division

Before and after this match

Pafos vs Olympiakos markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Pafos 64.1% 1.56 -7.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 66.5% 1.50 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.8% 1.57 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 84.7% 1.18 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 41.6% 2.40 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Pafos64.1%
Draw20.6%
Olympiakos15.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.566.5%
Under 2.533.5%
Both teams to scoreYes63.8%
No36.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)84.7%
12 (either side)79.4%
X2 (draw or away)35.9%
Handicap -1Pafos win37.0%
Push (exactly one goal)21.4%
Loss41.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.7%
2-19.6%
2-07.8%

Pafos vs Olympiakos stats

Pafos and Olympiakos recent form

newest first
Pafos WWDDLW
Olympiakos DWWWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Pafos vs Olympiakos head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

4Pafos wins 3Draws 2Olympiakos wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-17OlympiakosPafosCyprus 1. Division2-0
2025-09-27PafosOlympiakosCyprus 1. Division2-1
2024-01-18OlympiakosPafosCup0-1
2023-03-07OlympiakosPafos1. Division1-1
2022-12-03PafosOlympiakos1. Division1-1
2022-01-15OlympiakosPafos1. Division1-2
2021-10-16PafosOlympiakos1. Division1-1
2021-01-07PafosOlympiakos1. Division5-0
2020-09-28OlympiakosPafos1. Division2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Pafos vs Olympiakos odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 66.3%, draw 20.3%, away 13.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.40 4.65 6.93
Bet365 1.42 4.50 6.00
BetVictor 1.40 4.40 6.50
Betano 1.42 4.45 7.10
Betfair 1.33 4.60 7.00
Dafabet 1.39 4.60 7.00
Marathonbet 1.39 4.65 6.90
Pinnacle 1.37 4.78 7.25
SBO 1.36 3.91 5.90
William Hill 1.40 4.20 6.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.40 ▲ +0.06
X 4.58 ▼ -0.20
2 6.70 ▼ -1.20

13 snapshots recorded, from .