Garuda Lions
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Cyprus 1. Division · Full time ·Matchday 3

Omonia Nicosia vs Apollon Limassol

0 – 0 Full time

7′D. SpoljaricE. Aiwu
34′M. Maric
39′B. Gaspar
44′B. GasparA. Shikkis
46′M. MaricL. Brouwers
65′J. Balkovec
65′G. Assuncao
67′M. MayambelaCosta Ewandro
67′M. TankovicF. Tanase
67′J. MontnorB. Akintola
68′A. Shikkis
71′G. Rodrigues
80′F. Tanase
85′L. DionyA. Kakoullis
89′G. RodriguesK. Balogiannis
89′B. ThomasJ. Asoro

GSP Stadium, NicosiaReferee: Kyriakos Athanasiou, Cyprus

Omonia Nicosia 56%
Draw 24%
Apollon Limassol 20%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Omonia Nicosia vs Apollon Limassol overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Omonia Nicosia vs Apollon Limassol

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOmonia NicosiaDrawApollon Limassol
Model60.7%21.1%18.2%
Market54.8%24.7%20.5%
Final56.3%23.8%19.9%
Edge+6.0%-3.7%-2.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Omonia Nicosia

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.28 vs 1.20.
  • The market prices Omonia Nicosia below the model: +6.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Omonia Nicosia ↓ / Apollon Limass → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 9% 5% 2 8% 10% 6% 3 6% 7% 4+ 6% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 68%
No goals 4%

Omonia Nicosia and Apollon Limassol expected goals

Omonia Nicosia 2.28
Apollon Limassol 1.20

Total expected goals: 3.48

Omonia Nicosia and Apollon Limassol attack and defence ratings

Omonia Nicosia

Attack 1.33 +33%
Defence 0.69 -31%

Apollon Limassol

Attack 1.46 +46%
Defence 1.16 +16%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Omonia Nicosia vs Apollon Limassol: result vs prediction

Omonia Nicosia 0 – 0 Apollon Limassol

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Cyprus 1. Division

Before and after this match

Omonia Nicosia vs Apollon Limassol markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Omonia Nicosia 56.3% 1.78 +6.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 67.5% 1.48 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.6% 1.57 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 80.1% 1.25 — —
Handicap -1 Omonia Nicosia win 39.5% 2.53 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Omonia Nicosia56.3%
Draw23.8%
Apollon Limassol19.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.567.5%
Under 2.532.5%
Both teams to scoreYes63.6%
No36.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)80.1%
12 (either side)76.2%
X2 (draw or away)43.7%
Handicap -1Omonia Nicosia win39.5%
Push (exactly one goal)21.3%
Loss39.2%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.6%
1-19.3%
2-08.0%

Omonia Nicosia vs Apollon Limassol stats

Omonia Nicosia and Apollon Limassol recent form

newest first
Omonia Nicosia WDWLWD
Apollon Limassol WDLWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Omonia Nicosia vs Apollon Limassol head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Omonia Nicosia wins 2Draws 2Apollon Limassol wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-22Omonia NicosiaApollon LimassolCyprus 1. Division5-2
2026-04-26Apollon LimassolOmonia NicosiaCyprus 1. Division2-3
2026-03-02Omonia NicosiaApollon LimassolCyprus 1. Division1-1
2025-11-23Apollon LimassolOmonia NicosiaCyprus 1. Division2-0
2025-05-04Omonia NicosiaApollon Limassol1. Division1-0
2025-04-01Apollon LimassolOmonia Nicosia1. Division3-1
2025-02-24Apollon LimassolOmonia Nicosia1. Division1-1
2024-11-23Omonia NicosiaApollon Limassol1. Division3-1
2024-02-04Apollon LimassolOmonia Nicosia1. Division1-2
2023-11-04Omonia NicosiaApollon Limassol1. Division2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Omonia Nicosia vs Apollon Limassol odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 54.7%, draw 24.8%, away 20.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.69 3.74 4.72
Bet365 1.67 3.60 4.50
BetVictor 1.67 3.75 4.50
Betano 1.72 3.70 4.50
Betfair 1.62 3.75 4.60
Dafabet 1.74 3.70 4.30
Marathonbet 1.67 3.72 4.75
Pinnacle 1.68 3.77 4.55
SBO 1.70 3.29 3.92
William Hill 1.70 3.40 4.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.68 ▼ -0.02
X 3.72 ▲ +0.02
2 4.50 ▲ +0.17

10 snapshots recorded, from .