Cyprus 1. Division · Full time ·Matchday 3

Krasava Ypsonas vs Aris

0 – 1 Full time

26′D. Lelle
28′V. Papafotis
49′L. Maras
56′Gustavo Paje
62′D. KeitaA. Athanasiou
62′V. PapafotisN. Boateng
63′Y. Bahassa
65′D. LelleM. Matysik
65′D. GaustadC. El Allachi
79′D. GalyataV. Nikolic
79′WertonO. Lebi
80′A. AthanasiouM. Camus
80′L. PapastylianouX. Quintilla
84′R. Effaghe
85′R. PardoK. Brobbey
90′Gustavo PajeJ. Badelj
90′M. Matysik

Ammochostos Stadium, LarnacaReferee: K. Neofytou

Krasava Ypsonas 29%
Draw 24%
Aris 48%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Krasava Ypsonas vs Aris overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Krasava Ypsonas vs Aris

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKrasava YpsonasDrawAris
Model51.5%22.1%26.3%
Market21.2%24.0%54.7%
Final28.8%23.6%47.6%
Edge+30.3%-1.9%-28.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Aris

  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Krasava Ypsona ↓ / Aris → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 9% 6% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 6% 5% 4+ 6% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 72%
No goals 3%

Krasava Ypsonas and Aris expected goals

Krasava Ypsonas 2.19
Aris 1.54

Total expected goals: 3.73

Krasava Ypsonas and Aris attack and defence ratings

Krasava Ypsonas

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 1.20 +20%

Aris

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 1.51 +51%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Krasava Ypsonas vs Aris: result vs prediction

Krasava Ypsonas 0 – 1 Aris

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Cyprus 1. Division

Before and after this match

Krasava Ypsonas vs Aris markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Aris 47.6% 2.10 -28.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 72.0% 1.39 — —
Both teams to score Yes 70.6% 1.42 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.4% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 73.7% 1.36 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Krasava Ypsonas28.8%
Draw23.6%
Aris47.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.572.0%
Under 2.528.0%
Both teams to scoreYes70.6%
No29.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)52.4%
12 (either side)76.4%
X2 (draw or away)71.2%
Handicap -1Aris win12.5%
Push (exactly one goal)13.8%
Loss73.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-18.9%
2-18.8%
2-26.8%

Krasava Ypsonas vs Aris stats

Krasava Ypsonas and Aris recent form

newest first
Krasava Ypsonas LLDLDD
Aris LDLLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Krasava Ypsonas vs Aris head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

0Krasava Ypsonas wins 2Draws 4Aris wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-20Krasava YpsonasArisCyprus 1. Division1-1
2025-11-08ArisKrasava YpsonasCyprus 1. Division3-0
2021-02-24ArisKrasava Ypsonas2. Division1-0
2020-09-26Krasava YpsonasAris2. Division0-0
2019-12-01Krasava YpsonasAris2. Division1-2
2019-09-22ArisKrasava Ypsonas2. Division1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Krasava Ypsonas vs Aris odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 21.2%, draw 23.8%, away 55.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 4.38 3.85 1.71
Bet365 4.33 3.80 1.67
BetVictor 4.33 3.80 1.67
Betano 4.35 3.95 1.70
Betfair 4.20 3.80 1.67
Dafabet 5.40 3.90 1.56
Marathonbet 4.40 3.85 1.69
Pinnacle 4.16 3.88 1.72
SBO 3.98 3.44 1.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.33 ▼ -0.91
X 3.83 ▼ -0.07
2 1.68 ▲ +0.09

12 snapshots recorded, from .