Cyprus 1. Division · Full time ·Matchday 4

Aris vs Karmiotissa

0 – 0 Full time

38′X. TabakuI. Savvidis
46′C. El AllachiWerton
46′L. MarasAnderson Correia
47′M. Kokkinoftas
49′R. Garcia
62′P. PsychasM. Bajunovic
62′A. ArgyriouM. Elhmidi
63′S. Yago
73′Werton
82′D. A. ReynoldsS. Panagiotou
82′M. KokkinoftasA. Kutateladze
84′S. Dembele
90′A. Sarfo
90′V. Nikolic

Alphamega Stadium, KolossiReferee: Giorgos A. Georgiou

Aris 61%
Draw 21%
Karmiotissa 18%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Aris vs Karmiotissa overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Aris vs Karmiotissa

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityArisDrawKarmiotissa
Model43.4%25.0%31.6%
Market67.3%19.3%13.5%
Final61.3%20.7%18.0%
Edge-23.9%+5.7%+18.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Aris

  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Aris ↓ / Karmiotissa → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 11% 8% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 63%
No goals 5%

Aris and Karmiotissa expected goals

Aris 1.77
Karmiotissa 1.49

Total expected goals: 3.26

Aris and Karmiotissa attack and defence ratings

Aris

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 1.35 +35%

Karmiotissa

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 1.17 +17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Aris vs Karmiotissa: result vs prediction

Aris 0 – 0 Karmiotissa

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Cyprus 1. Division

Before and after this match

Aris vs Karmiotissa markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Aris 61.3% 1.63 -23.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 63.3% 1.58 — —
Both teams to score Yes 65.4% 1.53 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 82.0% 1.22 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.6% 1.77 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Aris61.3%
Draw20.7%
Karmiotissa18.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.563.3%
Under 2.536.7%
Both teams to scoreYes65.4%
No34.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)82.0%
12 (either side)79.3%
X2 (draw or away)38.7%
Handicap -1Aris win23.8%
Push (exactly one goal)19.7%
Loss56.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.1%
2-19.0%
1-27.5%

Aris vs Karmiotissa stats

Aris and Karmiotissa recent form

newest first
Aris WLDLLL
Karmiotissa DDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Aris vs Karmiotissa head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3Aris wins 2Draws 3Karmiotissa wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-12-13ArisKarmiotissa1. Division1-1
2024-08-24KarmiotissaAris1. Division1-3
2024-02-10ArisKarmiotissa1. Division3-0
2023-11-12KarmiotissaAris1. Division4-1
2023-01-05KarmiotissaAris1. Division0-0
2022-09-15ArisKarmiotissa1. Division1-2
2020-08-11KarmiotissaArisFriendlies Clubs1-2
2020-02-08KarmiotissaAris2. Division2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Aris vs Karmiotissa odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 67.3%, draw 19.3%, away 13.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.35 4.90 7.46
Bet365 1.40 4.50 6.50
BetVictor 1.36 4.60 7.50
Betano 1.39 4.85 6.80
Betfair 1.30 4.75 7.00
Marathonbet 1.34 4.90 7.40
Pinnacle 1.38 5.14 6.36
SBO 1.34 4.21 6.09
William Hill 1.36 4.60 6.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.36 ▲ +0.07
X 4.75 ▼ -0.35
2 6.80 ▼ -2.48

12 snapshots recorded, from .