Cyprus 1. Division · Full time ·Matchday 4

Nea Salamis vs Anorthosis

3 – 0 Full time

25′S. Grandsir
36′A. Da Cruz
44′D. Poveda
46′N. TosicA. Karamanolis
51′D. Poveda
56′D. PovedaP. Louka
56′B. KonateJ. Quintilla
57′A. Da CruzRafa Lopes
57′K. SergiouM. Ilia
64′P. Louka
66′C. Aboagye
75′A. ChrysostomouY. van Nieff
75′S. MiddendorpF. E. Sosa Vivaldi
77′G. GerolemouAldair
88′A. Michail
90′S. Grandsir

Ammochostos Stadium, LarnacaReferee: Panagiotis Chatzigeorgiou, Cyprus

Nea Salamis 35%
Draw 27%
Anorthosis 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Nea Salamis vs Anorthosis overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Nea Salamis vs Anorthosis

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityNea SalamisDrawAnorthosis
Model29.1%24.3%46.6%
Market36.9%27.4%35.7%
Final34.9%26.6%38.4%
Edge-7.8%-3.1%+10.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Anorthosis

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.88 vs 1.46.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Anorthosis below the model: +10.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Nea Salamis ↓ / Anorthosis → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 6% 1 11% 9% 6% 2 7% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 65%
No goals 5%

Nea Salamis and Anorthosis expected goals

Nea Salamis 1.46
Anorthosis 1.88

Total expected goals: 3.34

Nea Salamis and Anorthosis attack and defence ratings

Nea Salamis

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 1.46 +46%

Anorthosis

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Nea Salamis vs Anorthosis: result vs prediction

Nea Salamis 3 – 0 Anorthosis

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Cyprus 1. Division

Before and after this match

Nea Salamis vs Anorthosis markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Anorthosis 38.4% 2.60 +10.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64.9% 1.54 — —
Both teams to score Yes 66.1% 1.51 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.4% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.4% 1.87 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Nea Salamis34.9%
Draw26.6%
Anorthosis38.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564.9%
Under 2.535.1%
Both teams to scoreYes66.1%
No33.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)61.6%
12 (either side)73.4%
X2 (draw or away)65.1%
Handicap -1Anorthosis win26.5%
Push (exactly one goal)20.1%
Loss53.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.7%
1-29.1%
2-17.1%

Nea Salamis vs Anorthosis stats

Nea Salamis and Anorthosis recent form

newest first
Nea Salamis LLD
Anorthosis WLLLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.

Nea Salamis vs Anorthosis head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

0Nea Salamis wins 4Draws 6Anorthosis wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-12Nea SalamisAnorthosisFriendlies Clubs2-2
2025-05-09Nea SalamisAnorthosis1. Division2-4
2025-01-18Nea SalamisAnorthosis1. Division0-4
2024-10-05AnorthosisNea Salamis1. Division3-1
2024-08-17Nea SalamisAnorthosisFriendlies Clubs2-2
2023-12-23Nea SalamisAnorthosis1. Division0-3
2023-09-01AnorthosisNea Salamis1. Division2-2
2023-08-06Nea SalamisAnorthosisFriendlies Clubs0-4
2023-05-07Nea SalamisAnorthosis1. Division0-2
2023-03-31AnorthosisNea Salamis1. Division4-4

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Nea Salamis vs Anorthosis odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 36.9%, draw 27.4%, away 35.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.45 3.54 2.53
Bet365 2.55 3.10 2.62
BetVictor 2.50 3.25 2.63
Betano 2.55 3.45 2.57
Betfair 2.40 3.30 2.55
Marathonbet 2.45 3.54 2.53
Pinnacle 2.43 3.69 2.53
SBO 2.37 2.93 2.44
William Hill 2.45 3.30 2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.45 ▲ +0.21
X 3.30 ▲ +0.05
2 2.53 ▼ -0.55

10 snapshots recorded, from .