Omonia 29is Maiou
vs
AEK Larnaca
1 – 2 Full time
| 23′ | N. Andereggen | ||
| 25′ | K. Pattichis | ||
| 41′ | F. Tierney | ||
| 57′ | A. Portales | ||
| 58′ | N. AndereggenR. Bajic | ||
| 58′ | A. LayouniD. Ivanovic | ||
| 64′ | P. ZachariouK. Nwakali | ||
| 65′ | D. Chantakias | ||
| 69′ | K. PileasB. Olivan | ||
| 69′ | Y. ChaconJ. Repas | ||
| 73′ | F. Tierney | ||
| 77′ | M. van der HoornZ. Adoni | ||
| 81′ | Mike MoraisL. dos Santos | ||
| 81′ | C. AristotelousS. Panteli | ||
| 81′ | K. PattichisS. Tsoukalas | ||
| 82′ | D. Ivanovic | ||
| 83′ | K. Nwakali | ||
| 84′ | R. Bajic | ||
| 87′ | H. AndreouM. Antoniou |
Omonia 29is Maiou vs AEK Larnaca overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Omonia 29is Maiou vs AEK Larnaca
| Probability | Omonia 29is Maiou | Draw | AEK Larnaca |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.3% | 23.8% | 33.9% |
| Market | 14.0% | 21.0% | 65.0% |
| Final | 21.1% | 21.7% | 57.2% |
| Edge | +28.3% | +2.7% | -31.1% |
Why AEK Larnaca
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Omonia 29is Maiou and AEK Larnaca expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.56
Omonia 29is Maiou and AEK Larnaca attack and defence ratings
Omonia 29is Maiou
AEK Larnaca
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Omonia 29is Maiou vs AEK Larnaca: result vs prediction
Omonia 29is Maiou 1 – 2 AEK Larnaca
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Omonia 29is Maiou vs AEK Larnaca markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AEK Larnaca | 57.2% | 1.75 | -31.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Omonia 29is Maiou | 21.1% |
| Draw | 21.7% | |
| AEK Larnaca | 57.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.8% |
| No | 30.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 42.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 78.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | AEK Larnaca win | 17.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.6% | |
| Loss | 66.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.9% |
| 2-1 | 8.5% | |
| 1-2 | 7.5% |
Omonia 29is Maiou vs AEK Larnaca stats
Omonia 29is Maiou and AEK Larnaca recent form
| Omonia 29is Maiou |
DDW |
| AEK Larnaca |
LWWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.
Omonia 29is Maiou vs AEK Larnaca head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-02 | AEK Larnaca | Omonia 29is Maiou | 1. Division | 2-0 |
| 2024-12-01 | Omonia 29is Maiou | AEK Larnaca | 1. Division | 1-5 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Omonia 29is Maiou vs AEK Larnaca odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 14.0%, draw 21.0%, away 65.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 7.18 | 4.33 | 1.41 |
| Bet365 | 7.00 | 4.33 | 1.40 |
| BetVictor | 6.50 | 4.40 | 1.40 |
| Betano | 6.40 | 4.45 | 1.45 |
| Betfair | 6.50 | 4.40 | 1.36 |
| Marathonbet | 7.10 | 4.33 | 1.40 |
| Pinnacle | 7.11 | 4.47 | 1.40 |
| SBO | 5.90 | 4.01 | 1.37 |
| William Hill | 6.50 | 4.00 | 1.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .