Garuda Lions
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Cyprus 1. Division · Full time ·Matchday 4

Omonia Aradippou vs Olympiakos

1 – 1 Full time

42′P. Kynigopoulos
56′A. VrikkisA. Lolis
64′U. GarciaC. Makosso
64′Mathias GonzalezK. Anthimou
68′G. Pontikos
69′M. PechlivanisJean Felipe
80′A. El BouchataouiK. Evripidou
80′G. PontikosP. Polykarpou
81′B. Paz
85′K. AnthimouA. Plumain
90′NhaysonK. Irakleous

Antonis Papadopoulos Stadium, LarnacaReferee: Dimitris Solomou

Omonia Aradippou 38%
Draw 29%
Olympiakos 33%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Omonia Aradippou vs Olympiakos overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Omonia Aradippou vs Olympiakos

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOmonia AradippouDrawOlympiakos
Model42.1%28.5%29.4%
Market36.8%29.0%34.2%
Final38.2%28.8%33.0%
Edge+5.3%-0.5%-4.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Omonia Aradippou

  • The market prices Omonia Aradippou below the model: +5.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Omonia Aradipp ↓ / Olympiakos → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 7% 1 9% 14% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 49%
No goals 9%

Omonia Aradippou and Olympiakos expected goals

Omonia Aradippou 1.45
Olympiakos 1.17

Total expected goals: 2.62

Omonia Aradippou and Olympiakos attack and defence ratings

Omonia Aradippou

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Olympiakos

Attack 1.12 +12%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Omonia Aradippou vs Olympiakos: result vs prediction

Omonia Aradippou 1 – 1 Olympiakos

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Cyprus 1. Division

Before and after this match

Omonia Aradippou vs Olympiakos markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Omonia Aradippou 38.2% 2.62 +5.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 51.4% 1.94 — —
Both teams to score Yes 54.0% 1.85 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.2% 1.41 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.6% 1.73 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Omonia Aradippou38.2%
Draw28.8%
Olympiakos33.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.548.6%
Under 2.551.4%
Both teams to scoreYes54.0%
No46.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)67.0%
12 (either side)71.2%
X2 (draw or away)61.8%
Handicap -1Omonia Aradippou win21.1%
Push (exactly one goal)21.2%
Loss57.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.6%
1-09.3%
2-18.9%

Omonia Aradippou vs Olympiakos stats

Omonia Aradippou and Olympiakos recent form

newest first
Omonia Aradippou DWDWWL
Olympiakos DDDWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Omonia Aradippou vs Olympiakos head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

2Omonia Aradippou wins 2Draws 5Olympiakos wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-01OlympiakosOmonia AradippouCyprus 1. Division2-1
2026-02-15OlympiakosOmonia AradippouCyprus 1. Division0-0
2026-01-08OlympiakosOmonia AradippouCup3-4
2025-11-01Omonia AradippouOlympiakosCyprus 1. Division0-1
2024-04-07Omonia AradippouOlympiakos2. Division1-0
2024-02-10OlympiakosOmonia Aradippou2. Division2-2
2023-09-23OlympiakosOmonia Aradippou2. Division1-0
2019-03-10OlympiakosOmonia Aradippou2. Division4-1
2018-11-10Omonia AradippouOlympiakos2. Division1-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Omonia Aradippou vs Olympiakos odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 36.8%, draw 29.0%, away 34.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.50 3.18 2.69
Bet365 2.55 3.10 2.70
BetVictor 2.50 3.13 2.70
Betano 2.55 3.25 2.72
Betfair 2.55 3.25 2.50
Marathonbet 2.50 3.18 2.69
Pinnacle 2.50 3.27 2.69
SBO 2.40 2.95 2.53
William Hill 2.50 3.00 2.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.50 ▲ +0.20
X 3.18 ▲ +0.05
2 2.69 ▼ -0.40

13 snapshots recorded, from .