Karmiotissa
vs
Omonia Nicosia
0 – 3 Full time
Karmiotissa vs Omonia Nicosia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Karmiotissa vs Omonia Nicosia
| Probability | Karmiotissa | Draw | Omonia Nicosia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16.1% | 27.8% | 56.1% |
| Market | 7.1% | 14.1% | 78.8% |
| Final | 9.4% | 17.5% | 73.1% |
| Edge | +9.0% | +13.7% | -22.7% |
Why Omonia Nicosia
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 0.72.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Karmiotissa and Omonia Nicosia expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.27
Karmiotissa and Omonia Nicosia attack and defence ratings
Karmiotissa
Omonia Nicosia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Karmiotissa vs Omonia Nicosia: result vs prediction
Karmiotissa 0 – 3 Omonia Nicosia
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Karmiotissa vs Omonia Nicosia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Omonia Nicosia | 73.1% | 1.37 | -22.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.3% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 90.6% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Karmiotissa | 9.4% |
| Draw | 17.5% | |
| Omonia Nicosia | 73.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.7% |
| No | 58.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 26.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 90.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Omonia Nicosia win | 30.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.6% | |
| Loss | 43.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 14.8% |
| 1-1 | 12.7% | |
| 0-2 | 12.4% |
Karmiotissa vs Omonia Nicosia stats
Karmiotissa and Omonia Nicosia recent form
| Karmiotissa |
DDDL |
| Omonia Nicosia |
WWDWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.
Karmiotissa vs Omonia Nicosia head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-01 | Omonia Nicosia | Karmiotissa | 1. Division | 3-0 |
| 2024-10-28 | Karmiotissa | Omonia Nicosia | 1. Division | 2-6 |
| 2023-12-16 | Omonia Nicosia | Karmiotissa | 1. Division | 2-1 |
| 2023-08-26 | Karmiotissa | Omonia Nicosia | 1. Division | 3-3 |
| 2023-03-05 | Karmiotissa | Omonia Nicosia | 1. Division | 1-2 |
| 2022-12-05 | Omonia Nicosia | Karmiotissa | 1. Division | 4-0 |
| 2022-12-01 | Omonia Nicosia | Karmiotissa | Cup | 2-1 |
| 2020-12-18 | Karmiotissa | Omonia Nicosia | 1. Division | 1-5 |
| 2020-08-30 | Omonia Nicosia | Karmiotissa | 1. Division | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Karmiotissa vs Omonia Nicosia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 7.1%, draw 14.1%, away 78.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 12.80 | 6.60 | 1.18 |
| Bet365 | 23.00 | 9.00 | 1.08 |
| BetVictor | 13.00 | 6.50 | 1.17 |
| Betano | 17.00 | 6.20 | 1.18 |
| Betfair | 13.00 | 6.50 | 1.13 |
| Dafabet | 12.00 | 6.60 | 1.20 |
| Marathonbet | 13.00 | 6.60 | 1.17 |
| Pinnacle | 11.50 | 6.76 | 1.18 |
| William Hill | 11.00 | 5.80 | 1.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .