Krasava Ypsonas
vs
Apollon Limassol
Garuda Lions Prediction: Apollon Limassol
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Krasava Ypsonas vs Apollon Limassol overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Krasava Ypsonas vs Apollon Limassol
| Probability | Krasava Ypsonas | Draw | Apollon Limassol |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.7% | 22.5% | 53.8% |
| Market | 18.0% | 24.5% | 57.5% |
| Final | 19.4% | 24.0% | 56.6% |
| Edge | +5.7% | -2.0% | -3.7% |
Why Apollon Limassol
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.14 vs 1.38.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.62, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Krasava Ypsonas vs Apollon Limassol match preview
Krasava Ypsonas faces Apollon Limassol in a Cyprus 1. Division match on October 10, 2026. The model indicates a 24% probability of a win for Krasava Ypsonas, while Apollon Limassol holds a stronger 54% chance of victory. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with an expected goals tally of 1.38 for Krasava Ypsonas and 2.13 for Apollon Limassol.
Recent form shows Krasava Ypsonas struggling with five consecutive matches without a win (L-L-L-L-D-L), while Apollon Limassol has had mixed results, with two draws and one win in their last five (D-D-W-D-L-W). The likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at 68%, and both teams to score is rated at 67%. In their last two encounters, each team has secured one victory.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Krasava Ypsonas and Apollon Limassol expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.52
Krasava Ypsonas and Apollon Limassol attack and defence ratings
Krasava Ypsonas
Apollon Limassol
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Krasava Ypsonas vs Apollon Limassol markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Apollon Limassol | 56.6% | 1.77 | -3.7% | 1.62 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.9% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Krasava Ypsonas | 19.4% |
| Draw | 24.0% | |
| Apollon Limassol | 56.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.9% |
| No | 33.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 43.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 80.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Apollon Limassol win | 33.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.8% | |
| Loss | 45.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.7% |
| 1-2 | 9.4% | |
| 0-2 | 6.8% |
Krasava Ypsonas vs Apollon Limassol stats
Krasava Ypsonas and Apollon Limassol recent form
| Krasava Ypsonas |
LLLLDL |
| Apollon Limassol |
DDWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Krasava Ypsonas vs Apollon Limassol head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-21 | Krasava Ypsonas | Apollon Limassol | Cyprus 1. Division | 0-1 |
| 2025-08-29 | Apollon Limassol | Krasava Ypsonas | Cyprus 1. Division | 0-3 |
| 2025-08-02 | Krasava Ypsonas | Apollon Limassol | Friendlies Clubs | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Krasava Ypsonas vs Apollon Limassol odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 18.0%, draw 24.5%, away 57.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.21 | 3.82 | 1.60 |
| Bet365 | 4.75 | 3.80 | 1.62 |
| BetVictor | 5.25 | 3.60 | 1.60 |
| Betano | 5.00 | 3.90 | 1.62 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 3.80 | 1.57 |
| Dafabet | 5.20 | 3.85 | 1.62 |
| Marathonbet | 5.25 | 3.82 | 1.58 |
| Pinnacle | 5.19 | 3.72 | 1.62 |
| William Hill | 5.00 | 3.50 | 1.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .