Cyprus 1. Division · Full time ·Matchday 5

Krasava Ypsonas vs Apollon Limassol

1 – 3 Full time

33′Emanuel Aiwu
38′Gustavo Assunção
42′Luiyi de Lucas
46′Brandon ThomasAlen Ožbolt
46′Emanuel AiwuBruno Gaspar
46′Kevin Luckassen
57′Yassine BahassaMarco Camús
57′Kevin LuckassenEvgen Budnik
64′Gustavo Assunção
69′Vasilios PapafotisMichalis Panagidis
73′Morgan BrownIvan Ljubić
73′Gaetan WeissbeckDani Escriche
74′Luiyi de Lucas
80′Bruno Gaspar
85′Rubén PardoXavier Quintilla
88′Tabekou Ouambé
90′Bismark Boateng
90′Garry Rodrigues

Ammochostos Stadium, LarnacaReferee: Konstantinos Fotiou

Krasava Ypsonas 19%
Draw 24%
Apollon Limassol 57%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Krasava Ypsonas vs Apollon Limassol overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Krasava Ypsonas vs Apollon Limassol

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKrasava YpsonasDrawApollon Limassol
Model23.4%22.4%54.1%
Market17.8%24.3%57.8%
Final19.2%23.9%56.9%
Edge+1.4%-0.5%-0.9%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Apollon Limassol

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.14 vs 1.38.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Krasava Ypsona ↓ / Apollon Limass → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 7% 5% 1 10% 9% 7% 6% 2 6% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 68%
No goals 4%

Krasava Ypsonas and Apollon Limassol expected goals

Krasava Ypsonas 1.38
Apollon Limassol 2.14

Total expected goals: 3.52

Krasava Ypsonas and Apollon Limassol attack and defence ratings

Krasava Ypsonas

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 1.35 +35%

Apollon Limassol

Attack 1.32 +32%
Defence 1.09 +9%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Krasava Ypsonas vs Apollon Limassol: result vs prediction

Krasava Ypsonas 1 – 3 Apollon Limassol

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Cyprus 1. Division

Before and after this match

Krasava Ypsonas vs Apollon Limassol markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Apollon Limassol 56.9% 1.76 -0.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 68.2% 1.47 — —
Both teams to score Yes 66.8% 1.50 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 80.8% 1.24 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 45.9% 2.18 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Krasava Ypsonas19.2%
Draw23.9%
Apollon Limassol56.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.568.2%
Under 2.531.8%
Both teams to scoreYes66.8%
No33.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)43.1%
12 (either side)76.1%
X2 (draw or away)80.8%
Handicap -1Apollon Limassol win33.4%
Push (exactly one goal)20.8%
Loss45.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.6%
1-29.4%
0-26.8%

Krasava Ypsonas vs Apollon Limassol stats

Krasava Ypsonas and Apollon Limassol recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Krasava Ypsonas vs Apollon Limassol head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

1Krasava Ypsonas wins 1Draws 1Apollon Limassol wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-12-21Krasava YpsonasApollon LimassolCyprus 1. Division0-1
2025-08-29Apollon LimassolKrasava YpsonasCyprus 1. Division0-3
2025-08-02Krasava YpsonasApollon LimassolFriendlies Clubs2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Krasava Ypsonas vs Apollon Limassol odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 17.8%, draw 24.3%, away 57.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 5.21 3.82 1.60
Bet365 4.75 3.80 1.62
BetVictor 5.25 3.70 1.60
Betano 5.60 3.90 1.57
Betfair 5.00 3.80 1.55
Dafabet 5.00 3.80 1.63
Marathonbet 5.25 3.82 1.58
Pinnacle 5.19 3.72 1.62
William Hill 5.00 3.50 1.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 5.19 ▼ -2.31
X 3.80 ▼ -0.53
2 1.60 ▲ +0.19

13 snapshots recorded, from .