Apollon Limassol
vs
Nea Salamis
4 – 2 Full time
Apollon Limassol vs Nea Salamis overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Apollon Limassol vs Nea Salamis
| Probability | Apollon Limassol | Draw | Nea Salamis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62.5% | 18.8% | 18.8% |
| Market | 64.1% | 22.0% | 14.0% |
| Final | 63.7% | 21.2% | 15.2% |
| Edge | -1.6% | -3.2% | +4.8% |
Why Apollon Limassol
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.65 vs 1.45.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Apollon Limassol and Nea Salamis expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.09
Apollon Limassol and Nea Salamis attack and defence ratings
Apollon Limassol
Nea Salamis
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Apollon Limassol vs Nea Salamis: result vs prediction
Apollon Limassol 4 – 2 Nea Salamis
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Apollon Limassol vs Nea Salamis markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Apollon Limassol | 63.7% | 1.57 | -1.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Apollon Limassol win | 42.8% | 2.34 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Apollon Limassol | 63.7% |
| Draw | 21.2% | |
| Nea Salamis | 15.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 22.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.7% |
| No | 28.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 36.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Apollon Limassol win | 42.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 37.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.5% |
| 3-1 | 7.5% | |
| 1-1 | 7.0% |
Apollon Limassol vs Nea Salamis stats
Apollon Limassol and Nea Salamis recent form
| Apollon Limassol |
WDDWDL |
| Nea Salamis |
LWLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Apollon Limassol and Nea Salamis going into this match
Apollon Limassol record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
Nea Salamis record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Apollon Limassol vs Nea Salamis head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-08 | Apollon Limassol | Nea Salamis | 1. Division | 1-1 |
| 2024-12-08 | Nea Salamis | Apollon Limassol | 1. Division | 1-0 |
| 2024-09-05 | Nea Salamis | Apollon Limassol | Friendlies Clubs | 3-1 |
| 2024-04-13 | Nea Salamis | Apollon Limassol | 1. Division | 0-2 |
| 2024-03-04 | Apollon Limassol | Nea Salamis | 1. Division | 2-0 |
| 2023-12-17 | Apollon Limassol | Nea Salamis | 1. Division | 0-2 |
| 2023-08-27 | Nea Salamis | Apollon Limassol | 1. Division | 1-1 |
| 2023-01-02 | Apollon Limassol | Nea Salamis | 1. Division | 2-0 |
| 2022-09-18 | Nea Salamis | Apollon Limassol | 1. Division | 1-1 |
| 2021-01-24 | Nea Salamis | Apollon Limassol | 1. Division | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Apollon Limassol vs Nea Salamis odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 64.1%, draw 22.0%, away 14.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.44 | 4.20 | 6.79 |
| Bet365 | 1.44 | 4.20 | 6.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.33 | 7.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.43 | 4.20 | 6.70 |
| Pinnacle | 1.47 | 4.21 | 6.21 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 3.80 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .