Omonia Nicosia
vs
Olympiakos
Garuda Lions Prediction: Omonia Nicosia
2 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
Omonia Nicosia vs Olympiakos overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Omonia Nicosia vs Olympiakos
| Probability | Omonia Nicosia | Draw | Olympiakos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 73.4% | 18.1% | 8.5% |
| Market | 73.8% | 17.1% | 9.1% |
| Final | 73.7% | 17.3% | 9.0% |
| Edge | -0.4% | +1.0% | -0.6% |
Why Omonia Nicosia
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.33 vs 0.69.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.27, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Omonia Nicosia vs Olympiakos match preview
Omonia Nicosia enters this match with a strong probability of winning at 69%, while Olympiakos has an 11% chance of securing a victory. The expected goals suggest a dominant performance from Omonia Nicosia, with a forecast of 2.18 goals compared to Olympiakos's 0.75. Recent form also favors Omonia Nicosia, who have recorded three wins and a draw in their last five matches, whereas Olympiakos has struggled with four draws and a loss in their recent outings.
In terms of scoring, the model predicts a most likely scoreline of 2-0, with a 13% probability. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored, and both teams to score stands at 48%. Historically, Omonia Nicosia has been successful against Olympiakos, winning both of their last two encounters without conceding.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Omonia Nicosia and Olympiakos expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.02
Omonia Nicosia and Olympiakos attack and defence ratings
Omonia Nicosia
Olympiakos
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Omonia Nicosia vs Olympiakos markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Omonia Nicosia | 73.7% | 1.36 | -0.4% | 1.27 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.0% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Omonia Nicosia win | 50.9% | 1.97 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Omonia Nicosia | 73.7% |
| Draw | 17.3% | |
| Olympiakos | 9.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.7% |
| No | 54.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 26.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Omonia Nicosia win | 50.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 26.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 13.3% |
| 1-0 | 10.6% | |
| 3-0 | 10.3% |
Omonia Nicosia vs Olympiakos stats
Omonia Nicosia and Olympiakos recent form
| Omonia Nicosia |
WWWWDW |
| Olympiakos |
LDDDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Omonia Nicosia vs Olympiakos head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Omonia Nicosia | Olympiakos | Cyprus 1. Division | 5-0 |
| 2025-12-06 | Olympiakos | Omonia Nicosia | Cyprus 1. Division | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Omonia Nicosia vs Olympiakos odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 73.9%, draw 17.1%, away 9.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.24 | 5.40 | 11.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.25 | 5.50 | 10.00 |
| Betano | 1.27 | 5.30 | 10.75 |
| Betfair | 1.20 | 5.50 | 10.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.26 | 5.40 | 9.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.23 | 5.40 | 11.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.25 | 5.69 | 10.12 |
| William Hill | 1.25 | 5.00 | 10.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .