Lazio
vs
Monza
3 – 1 Full time
| 3′ | Nuno Tavares | ||
| 13′ | Andrea Carboni | ||
| 23′ | Gustav Isaksen | ||
| 35′ | Lorenzo Lucchesi | ||
| 36′ | Cyril NgongeSaba Goglichidze | ||
| 45′ | Danilho Doekhi | ||
| 45′ | Andrea CarboniYvan Maye | ||
| 45′ | Exequiel ZeballosDany Mota | ||
| 45′ | Michael FolorunshoFoe Ondoa | ||
| 46′ | Saba Goglichidze | ||
| 53′ | Danilho DoekhiDiogo Leite | ||
| 55′ | Oliver Provstgaard | ||
| 60′ | Davide FrattesiFisayo Dele-Bashiru | ||
| 60′ | Oliver ProvstgaardJosip Šutalo | ||
| 68′ | Diogo Leite | ||
| 70′ | Ricardo MangasAdam Bakoune | ||
| 75′ | Nuno TavaresAlfonso Pedraza | ||
| 75′ | Tijjani NoslinAndrea Pinamonti | ||
| 79′ | Ivan Juric | ||
| 88′ | Andrea Pinamonti |
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 66 | Possession % | 34 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 5 | Saves | 4 |
| 516 | Accurate passes | 224 |
Lazio vs Monza overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lazio vs Monza
| Probability | Lazio | Draw | Monza |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.2% | 26.5% | 37.3% |
| Market | 56.4% | 24.5% | 19.2% |
| Final | 51.3% | 25.0% | 23.7% |
| Edge | -5.0% | +0.5% | +4.5% |
Why Lazio
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lazio and Monza expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.40
Lazio and Monza attack and defence ratings
Lazio
Monza
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lazio vs Monza: result vs prediction
Lazio 3 – 1 Monza
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Lazio vs Monza markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lazio | 51.3% | 1.95 | -5.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.0% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lazio | 51.3% |
| Draw | 25.0% | |
| Monza | 23.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.7% |
| No | 31.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lazio win | 19.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.9% | |
| Loss | 63.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.6% |
| 1-2 | 8.3% | |
| 2-1 | 8.1% |
Lazio vs Monza stats
Lazio and Monza recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lazio and Monza going into this match
Lazio record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Monza record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
Lazio vs Monza head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-09 | Lazio | Monza | Serie A | 5-1 |
| 2024-11-10 | Monza | Lazio | Serie A | 0-1 |
| 2024-05-04 | Monza | Lazio | Serie A | 2-2 |
| 2023-09-23 | Lazio | Monza | Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2023-04-02 | Monza | Lazio | Serie A | 0-2 |
| 2022-11-10 | Lazio | Monza | Serie A | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Lazio vs Monza odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 56.4%, draw 24.5%, away 19.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.73 | 4.06 | 5.25 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 3.90 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 3.90 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.80 | 3.95 | 4.70 |
| Betfair | 1.70 | 3.90 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.72 | 3.95 | 4.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.68 | 3.94 | 5.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.71 | 3.93 | 5.02 |
| SBO | 1.66 | 3.57 | 4.46 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 3.75 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
49 snapshots recorded, from .