Monza
vs
Sassuolo
2 – 1 Full time
| 30′ | Eddy Kouadio | ||
| 51′ | G. Varela | ||
| 56′ | R. MangasA. Bakoune | ||
| 56′ | E. AkinsanmiroF. Ondoa | ||
| 56′ | P. CutroneD. Mota | ||
| 63′ | G. Varela | ||
| 64′ | N. MaticL. Lipani | ||
| 64′ | K. ThorstvedtK. Bowie | ||
| 72′ | S. EspositoV. Adzic | ||
| 72′ | D. BerardiB. Dominguez | ||
| 74′ | Michael Folorunsho | ||
| 82′ | J. RobinsonM. Mout | ||
| 82′ | D. BakolaL. Skjellerup | ||
| 85′ | Samuele Birindelli | ||
| 85′ | Luca Lipani | ||
| 88′ | V. Adzic | ||
| 90′ | Gustavo Varela | ||
| 90′ | S. BirindelliY. Maye |
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 20 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 35 | Possession % | 65 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 6 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 7 | Saves | 4 |
| 248 | Accurate passes | 513 |
Monza vs Sassuolo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Monza vs Sassuolo
| Probability | Monza | Draw | Sassuolo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.5% | 25.3% | 37.1% |
| Market | 35.5% | 28.3% | 36.2% |
| Final | 36.0% | 27.6% | 36.4% |
| Edge | +2.0% | -3.0% | +1.0% |
Why Sassuolo
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Monza and Sassuolo expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.63
Monza and Sassuolo attack and defence ratings
Monza
Sassuolo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Monza vs Sassuolo: result vs prediction
Monza 2 – 1 Sassuolo
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Monza vs Sassuolo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sassuolo | 36.4% | 2.75 | +1.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Monza | 36.0% |
| Draw | 27.6% | |
| Sassuolo | 36.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.8% |
| No | 28.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sassuolo win | 20.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.7% | |
| Loss | 62.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.5% |
| 2-1 | 8.0% | |
| 1-2 | 7.9% |
Monza vs Sassuolo stats
Monza vs Sassuolo head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-03 | Monza | Sassuolo | Friendlies Clubs | 2-2 |
| 2024-01-28 | Monza | Sassuolo | Serie A | 1-0 |
| 2023-10-02 | Sassuolo | Monza | Serie A | 0-1 |
| 2023-05-19 | Sassuolo | Monza | Serie A | 1-2 |
| 2023-01-22 | Monza | Sassuolo | Serie A | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Monza vs Sassuolo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 34.4%, draw 28.7%, away 36.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.96 | 3.30 | 2.32 |
| 1xBet | 2.84 | 3.40 | 2.72 |
| Bet365 | 2.60 | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| BetVictor | 2.63 | 3.50 | 2.55 |
| Betano | 2.67 | 3.35 | 2.65 |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.63 |
| Marathonbet | 2.79 | 3.34 | 2.67 |
| Pinnacle | 2.81 | 3.44 | 2.62 |
| SBO | 2.66 | 3.22 | 2.54 |
| Unibet | 2.80 | 3.35 | 2.43 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 3.10 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
24 snapshots recorded, from .