Udinese
vs
Cagliari
0 – 1 Full time
| 4′ | N. Zaniolo | ||
| 22′ | J. Karlstrom | ||
| 37′ | K. DavisI. Gueye | ||
| 46′ | N. ZanioloG. Chakvetadze | ||
| 54′ | D. Maldini | ||
| 57′ | L. MillerU. Gomez | ||
| 59′ | J. RodriguezY. Sugawara | ||
| 59′ | D. MaldiniKevin | ||
| 71′ | H. KamaraA. Zanoli | ||
| 71′ | C. KabaseleV. Bayo | ||
| 85′ | A. RomanoR. Gagliardini | ||
| 85′ | P. MendyA. Fadera |
Match stats
| 26 | Shots | 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 65 | Possession % | 35 |
| 16 | Corners | 1 |
| 9 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Offsides | 4 |
| 1 | Saves | 6 |
| 557 | Accurate passes | 283 |
Udinese vs Cagliari overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Udinese vs Cagliari
| Probability | Udinese | Draw | Cagliari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.7% | 27.4% | 36.9% |
| Market | 42.6% | 29.3% | 28.1% |
| Final | 40.9% | 28.8% | 30.3% |
| Edge | -6.9% | -1.9% | +8.8% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Udinese and Cagliari expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.24
Udinese and Cagliari attack and defence ratings
Udinese
Cagliari
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Udinese vs Cagliari: result vs prediction
Udinese 0 – 1 Cagliari
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Udinese vs Cagliari markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Udinese | 40.9% | 2.44 | -6.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.3% | 1.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Udinese | 40.9% |
| Draw | 28.8% | |
| Cagliari | 30.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.3% |
| No | 33.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Udinese win | 18.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.0% | |
| Loss | 64.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.3% |
| 1-2 | 8.4% | |
| 2-1 | 8.3% |
Udinese vs Cagliari stats
Udinese vs Cagliari head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Cagliari | Udinese | Serie A | 0-2 |
| 2025-10-05 | Udinese | Cagliari | Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-03 | Cagliari | Udinese | Serie A | 1-2 |
| 2024-10-25 | Udinese | Cagliari | Serie A | 2-0 |
| 2024-02-18 | Udinese | Cagliari | Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2023-11-01 | Udinese | Cagliari | Coppa Italia | 1-2 |
| 2023-09-17 | Cagliari | Udinese | Serie A | 0-0 |
| 2022-04-03 | Udinese | Cagliari | Serie A | 5-1 |
| 2021-12-18 | Cagliari | Udinese | Serie A | 0-4 |
| 2021-04-21 | Udinese | Cagliari | Serie A | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Udinese vs Cagliari odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.9%, draw 29.2%, away 27.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.00 | 3.20 | 3.85 |
| 1xBet | 2.31 | 3.40 | 3.48 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.25 |
| Betano | 2.25 | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| Betfair | 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.40 |
| Marathonbet | 2.24 | 3.30 | 3.38 |
| Pinnacle | 2.26 | 3.26 | 3.51 |
| SBO | 2.21 | 2.99 | 2.91 |
| Unibet | 2.04 | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.20 | 3.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
25 snapshots recorded, from .