Serie A Β· Β·Matchday 6

Torino vs Udinese

Garuda Lions Prediction: Torino

2 – 1 Predicted score Β· 8% model probability

Stadio Olimpico di Torino, Turin

Torino 39%
Draw 30%
Udinese 32%

Confidence: High  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance Torino wins
39%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
92%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
60%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
8% of simulated outcomes

Torino vs Udinese overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Torino vs Udinese

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTorinoDrawUdinese
Model33.0%29.6%37.4%
Market40.7%29.5%29.8%
Final38.8%29.6%31.7%
Edge-7.7%+0.1%+7.6%

Confidence: High

Best available price on the pick: 2.40, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

Torino vs Udinese match preview

Torino will face Udinese in their upcoming Serie A match, with model probabilities indicating a 39% chance of a Torino victory, a 32% likelihood for Udinese, and a 29% chance for a draw. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Torino, with an 8% probability. Both teams show a strong potential for scoring, with a 60% chance that both will find the net, and a 54% likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match.

In terms of recent form, Torino has struggled, recording one win in their last six matches (D-L-W-L-L-L), while Udinese has shown improvement, winning two of their last six (L-L-L-W-W-D). The expected goals for Torino stand at 1.38, slightly lower than Udinese's 1.48, suggesting a competitive match ahead. The head-to-head record in the last six encounters is evenly matched, with each team securing two wins and two draws.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Torino ↓ / Udinese β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 14% 9% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 8%

Torino and Udinese expected goals

Torino 1.38
Udinese 1.48

Total expected goals: 2.86

Torino and Udinese attack and defence ratings

Torino

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 1.13 +13%

Udinese

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 1.19 +19%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Serie A

Before and after this match

Torino vs Udinese markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Torino 38.8% 2.58 -7.7% 2.40
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 54.5% 1.84 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 60.2% 1.66 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.4% 1.42 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 67.0% 1.49 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Torino38.8%
Draw29.6%
Udinese31.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554.5%
Under 2.545.5%
Both teams to scoreYes60.2%
No39.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.3%
12 (either side)70.4%
X2 (draw or away)61.2%
Handicap -1Torino win16.1%
Push (exactly one goal)16.9%
Loss67.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.0%
1-28.7%
2-18.1%

Torino vs Udinese stats

Torino and Udinese recent form

newest first
Torino DLWLLL
Udinese LLLWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Torino vs Udinese head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

2Torino wins 2Draws 2Udinese wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-02UdineseTorinoSerie A2-0
2026-01-07TorinoUdineseSerie A1-2
2025-04-23TorinoUdineseSerie A2-0
2024-12-29UdineseTorinoSerie A2-2
2024-03-16UdineseTorinoSerie A0-2
2023-12-23TorinoUdineseSerie A1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Torino vs Udinese odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.7%, draw 29.5%, away 29.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.39 3.35 3.35
Bet365 2.30 3.20 3.30
BetVictor 2.25 3.25 3.10
Betano 2.37 3.25 3.10
Betfair 2.40 3.25 3.25
Dafabet 2.40 3.25 3.20
Marathonbet 2.32 3.25 3.25
Pinnacle 2.36 3.23 3.34
SBO 2.36 2.92 2.74
William Hill 2.30 3.10 3.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.36 β–² +0.06
X 3.25 β–Ό -0.12
2 3.23 β–² +0.06

46 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Torino Predicted score 2 – 1 High Bet Now
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