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Serie A · Full time ·Matchday 5

Bologna vs Torino

1 – 1 Full time

14′F. Bernardeschi
30′D. Braganca
46′N. FortiniN. Patterson
55′K. Fitz-JimS. Kulenovic
58′N. CambiaghiJ. Odgaard
58′E. Fauske HellandL. De Silvestri
68′E. ComertR. Belghali
68′N. VlasicG. Oristanio
68′D. BragancaE. Ilkhan
74′R. Belghali
76′F. BernardeschiR. Orsolini
77′T. PobegaN. Moro
77′S. Kulenovic
78′N. Patterson
84′N. ZorteaE. Holm

Renato Dall'Ara, BolognaReferee: M. Guida

Bologna 48%
Draw 28%
Torino 24%

Confidence: High  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 14
1 Shots on target 3
40 Possession % 60
1 Corners 6
18 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 0
2 Saves 0
237 Accurate passes 373

Bologna vs Torino overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bologna vs Torino

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBolognaDrawTorino
Model43.4%29.3%27.3%
Market49.0%27.6%23.3%
Final47.6%28.1%24.3%
Edge-5.7%+1.7%+3.9%

Confidence: High

Why Bologna

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.59 vs 1.23.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Bologna ↓ / Torino → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 7% 14% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 8%

Bologna and Torino expected goals

Bologna 1.59
Torino 1.23

Total expected goals: 2.83

Bologna and Torino attack and defence ratings

Bologna

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 1.13 +13%

Torino

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 1.19 +19%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Bologna vs Torino: result vs prediction

Bologna 1 – 1 Torino

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Serie A

Before and after this match

Bologna vs Torino markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bologna 47.6% 2.10 -5.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 53.7% 1.86 — —
Both teams to score Yes 58.8% 1.70 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.7% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.6% 1.77 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Bologna47.6%
Draw28.1%
Torino24.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.553.7%
Under 2.546.3%
Both teams to scoreYes58.8%
No41.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.7%
12 (either side)71.9%
X2 (draw or away)52.4%
Handicap -1Bologna win23.4%
Push (exactly one goal)20.0%
Loss56.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.0%
2-19.3%
0-08.2%

Bologna vs Torino stats

Bologna and Torino recent form

newest first
Bologna LDLLDW
Torino LWLLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Bologna vs Torino head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Bologna wins 3Draws 2Torino wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-15TorinoBolognaSerie A1-2
2025-10-29BolognaTorinoSerie A0-0
2025-02-14BolognaTorinoSerie A3-2
2024-12-21TorinoBolognaSerie A0-2
2024-05-03TorinoBolognaSerie A0-0
2023-11-27BolognaTorinoSerie A2-0
2023-03-06TorinoBolognaSerie A1-0
2022-11-06BolognaTorinoSerie A2-1
2022-03-06BolognaTorinoSerie A0-0
2021-12-12TorinoBolognaSerie A2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Bologna vs Torino odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 48.8%, draw 27.5%, away 23.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.88 3.45 4.00
1xBet 2.01 3.56 4.22
Bet365 1.91 3.50 4.00
BetVictor 1.93 3.50 3.90
Betano 2.00 3.55 4.15
Betfair 1.95 3.40 4.10
Marathonbet 1.95 3.46 4.10
Pinnacle 1.98 3.42 4.23
SBO 1.94 3.09 3.46
Unibet 1.92 3.45 3.95
William Hill 1.91 3.30 3.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.95 ▲ +0.04
X 3.46 ▼ -0.11
2 4.10 ▼ -0.01

25 snapshots recorded, from .