Torino
vs
Roma
0 – 2 Full time
| 40′ | D. Malen | ||
| 46′ | G. GineitisD. Braganca | ||
| 46′ | R. BelghaliA. Cacciamani | ||
| 57′ | M. SouleR. Mora | ||
| 57′ | D. MalenS. Castro | ||
| 59′ | K. Fitz-JimE. Ilkhan | ||
| 61′ | Mario Hermoso | ||
| 64′ | P. DybalaM. De Roon | ||
| 64′ | B. CristanteM. Kone | ||
| 72′ | Niccolò Pisilli | ||
| 73′ | N. FortiniR. Rodriguez | ||
| 83′ | R. MandragoraD. Zapata | ||
| 88′ | E. LulliD. Rensch | ||
| 90′ | N. Pisilli |
Match stats
| 7 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 53 | Possession % | 47 |
| 1 | Corners | 8 |
| 7 | Fouls | 20 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 3 | Saves | 3 |
| 417 | Accurate passes | 359 |
Torino vs Roma overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Torino vs Roma
| Probability | Torino | Draw | Roma |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 13.9% | 21.9% | 64.3% |
| Market | 15.9% | 22.0% | 62.2% |
| Final | 15.4% | 21.9% | 62.7% |
| Edge | -2.0% | -0.1% | +2.1% |
Why Roma
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.32 vs 1.04.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Roma below the model: +2.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Torino and Roma expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.35
Torino and Roma attack and defence ratings
Torino
Roma
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Torino vs Roma: result vs prediction
Torino 0 – 2 Roma
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Torino vs Roma markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Roma | 62.7% | 1.59 | +2.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 84.6% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Roma win | 43.4% | 2.31 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Torino | 15.4% |
| Draw | 21.9% | |
| Roma | 62.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.9% |
| No | 40.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 37.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 84.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Roma win | 43.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 35.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.1% |
| 1-2 | 9.7% | |
| 0-2 | 9.4% |
Torino vs Roma stats
Torino vs Roma head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 | Torino | Roma | Serie A | 0-2 |
| 2026-01-13 | Roma | Torino | Coppa Italia | 2-3 |
| 2025-09-14 | Roma | Torino | Serie A | 0-1 |
| 2025-05-25 | Torino | Roma | Serie A | 0-2 |
| 2024-10-31 | Roma | Torino | Serie A | 1-0 |
| 2024-02-26 | Roma | Torino | Serie A | 3-2 |
| 2023-09-24 | Torino | Roma | Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2023-04-08 | Torino | Roma | Serie A | 0-1 |
| 2022-11-13 | Roma | Torino | Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2022-05-20 | Torino | Roma | Serie A | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Torino vs Roma odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 15.7%, draw 23.0%, away 61.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 6.20 | 3.85 | 1.54 |
| 1xBet | 6.50 | 4.40 | 1.58 |
| 888Sport | 5.50 | 3.80 | 1.57 |
| Bet365 | 6.00 | 4.33 | 1.50 |
| BetVictor | 6.00 | 4.33 | 1.50 |
| Betano | 5.90 | 4.40 | 1.60 |
| Betfair | 6.50 | 4.10 | 1.53 |
| Dafabet | 6.00 | 4.10 | 1.59 |
| Marathonbet | 6.35 | 4.30 | 1.54 |
| Pinnacle | 6.41 | 4.34 | 1.54 |
| SBO | 4.84 | 3.72 | 1.53 |
| Unibet | 5.75 | 3.80 | 1.57 |
| William Hill | 5.80 | 4.00 | 1.53 |
| winamax_fr | 3.95 | 3.20 | 1.68 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
31 snapshots recorded, from .