Fiorentina
vs
Torino
1 – 2 Full time
| 24′ | C. Inao OulaiC. Ndour | ||
| 40′ | S. CocoA. Ismajli | ||
| 46′ | M. BrescianiniA. Atta | ||
| 46′ | F. MastantuonoW. Gnonto | ||
| 47′ | M. Pellegrino | ||
| 56′ | N. FortiniN. Patterson | ||
| 56′ | A. CacciamaniR. Belghali | ||
| 70′ | P. ComuzzoD. Braganca | ||
| 70′ | G. GineitisG. Simeone | ||
| 73′ | R. Mandragora | ||
| 76′ | M. PellegrinoBeto | ||
| 79′ | A. NjiePote | ||
| 82′ | C. Adams |
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 7 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 39 | Possession % | 61 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 4 |
| 289 | Accurate passes | 489 |
Fiorentina vs Torino overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fiorentina vs Torino
| Probability | Fiorentina | Draw | Torino |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.8% | 27.9% | 37.2% |
| Market | 49.1% | 28.2% | 22.7% |
| Final | 45.5% | 28.1% | 26.4% |
| Edge | -14.3% | -0.2% | +14.5% |
Why Fiorentina
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Fiorentina and Torino expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.14
Fiorentina and Torino attack and defence ratings
Fiorentina
Torino
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Fiorentina vs Torino: result vs prediction
Fiorentina 1 – 2 Torino
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Fiorentina vs Torino markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fiorentina | 45.5% | 2.20 | -14.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.8% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fiorentina | 45.5% |
| Draw | 28.1% | |
| Torino | 26.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.9% |
| No | 35.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Fiorentina win | 17.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.9% | |
| Loss | 65.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.8% |
| 1-2 | 8.5% | |
| 2-1 | 8.2% |
Fiorentina vs Torino stats
Fiorentina and Torino recent form
| Fiorentina |
LLWDWD |
| Torino |
LLLWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Fiorentina vs Torino head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | Fiorentina | Torino | Serie A | 2-2 |
| 2025-08-31 | Torino | Fiorentina | Serie A | 0-0 |
| 2025-01-19 | Fiorentina | Torino | Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2024-11-03 | Torino | Fiorentina | Serie A | 0-1 |
| 2024-03-02 | Torino | Fiorentina | Serie A | 0-0 |
| 2023-12-29 | Fiorentina | Torino | Serie A | 1-0 |
| 2023-05-21 | Torino | Fiorentina | Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2023-02-01 | Fiorentina | Torino | Coppa Italia | 2-1 |
| 2023-01-21 | Fiorentina | Torino | Serie A | 0-1 |
| 2022-01-10 | Torino | Fiorentina | Serie A | 4-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Fiorentina vs Torino odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.8%, draw 28.6%, away 22.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.90 | 3.25 | 4.30 |
| 1xBet | 2.02 | 3.46 | 4.34 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.30 | 4.20 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.80 |
| Betano | 1.95 | 3.25 | 4.35 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.30 | 4.33 |
| Dafabet | 1.98 | 3.35 | 4.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.97 | 3.38 | 4.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.96 | 3.44 | 4.25 |
| SBO | 1.92 | 3.07 | 3.53 |
| Superbet | 1.97 | 3.40 | 4.15 |
| Unibet | 1.90 | 3.25 | 4.20 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.20 | 3.90 |
| betclic_fr | 1.70 | 3.38 | 4.65 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
21 snapshots recorded, from .