Torino
vs
Monza
0 – 1 Full time
| 34′ | D. Mota | ||
| 38′ | Sandro Kulenović | ||
| 45′ | D. Mota | ||
| 56′ | G. OristanioN. Vlasic | ||
| 56′ | S. KulenovicD. Zapata | ||
| 64′ | A. LuongoF. Anjorin | ||
| 64′ | A. CacciamaniZ. Aboukhlal | ||
| 70′ | O. ForsonA. Colpani | ||
| 70′ | D. MotaP. Cutrone | ||
| 76′ | J. RobinsonS. Birindelli | ||
| 76′ | Y. MayeJ. Ziolkowski | ||
| 79′ | A. IsmajliC. Adams | ||
| 80′ | Michael Folorunsho | ||
| 90′ | E. AkinsanmiroI. Toure | ||
| 90′ | Torino |
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 19 |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 8 | Corners | 8 |
| 18 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 7 | Saves | 0 |
| 305 | Accurate passes | 258 |
Torino vs Monza overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Torino vs Monza
| Probability | Torino | Draw | Monza |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65.7% | 20.3% | 14.0% |
| Market | 54.0% | 26.4% | 19.6% |
| Final | 56.9% | 24.9% | 18.2% |
| Edge | +11.7% | -6.1% | -5.6% |
Why Torino
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.25 vs 1.01.
- The market prices Torino below the model: +11.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Torino and Monza expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.26
Torino and Monza attack and defence ratings
Torino
Monza
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Torino vs Monza: result vs prediction
Torino 0 – 1 Monza
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round of 32 fixtures
Before and after this match
Torino vs Monza markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Torino | 56.9% | 1.76 | +11.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.1% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Torino win | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Torino | 56.9% |
| Draw | 24.9% | |
| Monza | 18.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.8% |
| No | 43.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Torino win | 42.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 35.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 10.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | |
| 1-1 | 9.5% |
Torino vs Monza stats
Torino vs Monza head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-02 | Monza | Torino | Serie A | 0-2 |
| 2024-11-24 | Torino | Monza | Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2024-03-30 | Torino | Monza | Serie A | 1-0 |
| 2023-11-11 | Monza | Torino | Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2023-05-07 | Torino | Monza | Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2022-12-28 | Monza | Torino | Friendlies Clubs | 1-4 |
| 2022-08-13 | Monza | Torino | Serie A | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Torino vs Monza odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.0%, draw 26.4%, away 19.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.75 | 3.45 | 4.75 |
| 1xBet | 1.72 | 3.54 | 4.78 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 3.50 | 4.75 |
| Betano | 1.80 | 3.50 | 4.80 |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.84 | 3.55 | 4.70 |
| Marathonbet | 1.70 | 3.54 | 4.80 |
| Pinnacle | 1.74 | 3.70 | 5.09 |
| SBO | 1.71 | 3.35 | 4.46 |
| Superbet | 1.74 | 3.65 | 4.90 |
| Unibet | 1.82 | 3.50 | 4.50 |
| William Hill | 1.73 | 3.40 | 4.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .