Monza vs Udinese overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Monza vs Udinese
| Probability | Monza | Draw | Udinese |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.5% | 27.4% | 27.1% |
| Market | 29.8% | 30.2% | 40.0% |
| Final | 33.7% | 29.5% | 36.8% |
| Edge | +15.8% | -2.8% | -12.9% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Monza and Udinese expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.12
Monza and Udinese attack and defence ratings
Monza
Udinese
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Monza vs Udinese: result vs prediction
Monza 2 – 3 Udinese
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Monza vs Udinese markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Udinese | 36.8% | 2.72 | -12.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Monza | 33.7% |
| Draw | 29.5% | |
| Udinese | 36.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.6% |
| No | 36.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Udinese win | 12.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 14.3% | |
| Loss | 73.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | |
| 1-2 | 7.1% |
Monza vs Udinese stats
Monza vs Udinese head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-11 | Udinese | Monza | Serie A | 1-2 |
| 2024-12-09 | Monza | Udinese | Serie A | 1-2 |
| 2024-02-03 | Udinese | Monza | Serie A | 0-0 |
| 2023-10-29 | Monza | Udinese | Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2023-04-08 | Udinese | Monza | Serie A | 2-2 |
| 2022-10-19 | Udinese | Monza | Coppa Italia | 2-3 |
| 2022-08-26 | Monza | Udinese | Serie A | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Monza vs Udinese odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 29.8%, draw 30.2%, away 40.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.10 | 3.15 | 2.34 |
| 1xBet | 3.27 | 3.27 | 2.48 |
| Bet365 | 3.20 | 3.20 | 2.38 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.13 | 2.38 |
| Betano | 3.20 | 3.15 | 2.40 |
| Betfair | 3.20 | 3.10 | 2.40 |
| Dafabet | 3.20 | 3.20 | 2.41 |
| Marathonbet | 3.20 | 3.18 | 2.43 |
| Pinnacle | 3.20 | 3.20 | 2.46 |
| SBO | 2.89 | 2.93 | 2.26 |
| Superbet | 3.25 | 3.20 | 2.37 |
| Unibet | 3.10 | 3.15 | 2.30 |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 3.00 | 2.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
15 snapshots recorded, from .