Cagliari
vs
Inter
0 – 1 Full time
| 9′ | H. Calhanoglu | ||
| 14′ | Manuel Akanji | ||
| 56′ | Alessandro Deiola | ||
| 57′ | H. WinksR. Kofler | ||
| 57′ | J. FazziniA. Fadera | ||
| 57′ | P. MendyKevin | ||
| 65′ | H. CalhanogluP. Zielinski | ||
| 65′ | P. SucicC. Jones | ||
| 65′ | F. EspositoM. Thuram | ||
| 68′ | M. AkanjiJ. Stones | ||
| 78′ | D. MaldiniG. Borrelli | ||
| 81′ | Luis HenriqueY. Bisseck | ||
| 83′ | A. DeiolaR. Ciervo | ||
| 88′ | Kevin Carlos Omoruyi |
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 31 |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 35 | Possession % | 65 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 6 | Fouls | 5 |
| 4 | Offsides | 1 |
| 5 | Saves | 0 |
| 305 | Accurate passes | 624 |
Cagliari vs Inter overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cagliari vs Inter
| Probability | Cagliari | Draw | Inter |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.0% | 28.2% | 41.8% |
| Market | 12.5% | 21.9% | 65.6% |
| Final | 16.9% | 23.5% | 59.6% |
| Edge | +17.5% | +6.3% | -23.8% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cagliari and Inter expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.05
Cagliari and Inter attack and defence ratings
Cagliari
Inter
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cagliari vs Inter: result vs prediction
Cagliari 0 – 1 Inter
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cagliari vs Inter markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter | 59.6% | 1.68 | -23.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.1% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 83.1% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cagliari | 16.9% |
| Draw | 23.5% | |
| Inter | 59.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.1% |
| No | 36.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 40.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 83.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Inter win | 22.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.0% | |
| Loss | 58.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.1% |
| 1-2 | 9.1% | |
| 2-1 | 7.6% |
Cagliari vs Inter stats
Cagliari vs Inter head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-17 | Inter | Cagliari | Serie A | 3-0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Cagliari | Inter | Serie A | 0-2 |
| 2025-04-12 | Inter | Cagliari | Serie A | 3-1 |
| 2024-12-28 | Cagliari | Inter | Serie A | 0-3 |
| 2024-04-14 | Inter | Cagliari | Serie A | 2-2 |
| 2023-08-28 | Cagliari | Inter | Serie A | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cagliari vs Inter odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 12.6%, draw 21.9%, away 65.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 8.40 | 4.00 | 1.42 |
| 1xBet | 7.95 | 4.54 | 1.49 |
| Bet365 | 8.50 | 4.10 | 1.42 |
| BetVictor | 7.50 | 4.33 | 1.40 |
| Betano | 7.80 | 4.15 | 1.47 |
| Betfair | 7.50 | 4.50 | 1.44 |
| Dafabet | 7.40 | 4.40 | 1.48 |
| Marathonbet | 7.80 | 4.45 | 1.46 |
| Pinnacle | 7.59 | 4.52 | 1.46 |
| SBO | 6.38 | 3.93 | 1.40 |
| Unibet | 7.00 | 4.30 | 1.43 |
| William Hill | 7.00 | 4.00 | 1.44 |
| unibet_fr | 5.80 | 3.80 | 1.46 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .