Cagliari
vs
Verona
1 – 2 Full time
| 23′ | Abdou Harroui | ||
| 45′ | Giuseppe AurelioAdam Obert | ||
| 45′ | Joseph LitetaAlessandro Romano | ||
| 45′ | Amin SarrSamuele Mulattieri | ||
| 57′ | Paul Mendy | ||
| 58′ | Grigoris KastanosAntoine Bernede | ||
| 58′ | Abdou HarrouiEdoardo Iannoni | ||
| 63′ | Mattia FeliciDaniel Maldini | ||
| 63′ | Jacopo FazziniMichel Adopo | ||
| 64′ | Nunzio Lellaandrea le borgne | ||
| 66′ | Edoardo Iannoni | ||
| 68′ | Michel Adopo | ||
| 68′ | Davide De BattistiGabriele Zappa | ||
| 73′ | Seid Korac | ||
| 84′ | Harry WinksAlessandro Deiola | ||
| 87′ | Samuele Mulattieri |
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 61 | Possession % | 39 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 3 | Saves | 3 |
| 567 | Accurate passes | 355 |
Cagliari vs Verona overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cagliari vs Verona
| Probability | Cagliari | Draw | Verona |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 71.2% | 19.0% | 9.8% |
| Market | 47.9% | 27.9% | 24.3% |
| Final | 53.7% | 25.7% | 20.6% |
| Edge | +23.3% | -8.8% | -14.5% |
Why Cagliari
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.25 vs 0.73.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Cagliari below the model: +23.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cagliari and Verona expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.98
Cagliari and Verona attack and defence ratings
Cagliari
Verona
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cagliari vs Verona: result vs prediction
Cagliari 1 – 2 Verona
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round of 32 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cagliari vs Verona markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cagliari | 53.7% | 1.86 | +23.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Cagliari win | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cagliari | 53.7% |
| Draw | 25.7% | |
| Verona | 20.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.8% |
| No | 52.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cagliari win | 48.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.9% | |
| Loss | 29.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.7% |
| 1-0 | 10.3% | |
| 3-0 | 9.6% |
Cagliari vs Verona stats
Cagliari vs Verona head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Cagliari | Verona | Serie A | 4-0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Verona | Cagliari | Serie A | 2-2 |
| 2025-04-28 | Verona | Cagliari | Serie A | 0-2 |
| 2024-11-29 | Cagliari | Verona | Serie A | 1-0 |
| 2024-04-01 | Cagliari | Verona | Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2023-12-23 | Verona | Cagliari | Serie A | 2-0 |
| 2022-04-30 | Cagliari | Verona | Serie A | 1-2 |
| 2021-11-30 | Verona | Cagliari | Serie A | 0-0 |
| 2021-04-03 | Cagliari | Verona | Serie A | 0-2 |
| 2020-12-06 | Verona | Cagliari | Serie A | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cagliari vs Verona odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.9%, draw 27.9%, away 24.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.97 | 3.40 | 3.75 |
| 1xBet | 2.02 | 3.30 | 3.94 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.20 | 3.70 |
| Betano | 2.05 | 3.35 | 3.75 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.05 | 3.45 | 3.85 |
| Marathonbet | 1.97 | 3.20 | 3.85 |
| Pinnacle | 2.05 | 3.32 | 3.99 |
| SBO | 1.90 | 3.01 | 3.44 |
| Superbet | 1.95 | 3.35 | 4.20 |
| Unibet | 1.92 | 3.40 | 3.95 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.20 | 3.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .