Sassuolo
vs
Frosinone
1 – 1 Full time
| 36′ | B. Dominguez | ||
| 45′ | A. Terzic | ||
| 46′ | F. GrillitschM. Cichella | ||
| 55′ | R. ObradorI. Van der Brempt | ||
| 55′ | B. DominguezA. Lauriente | ||
| 55′ | C. VolpatoD. Berardi | ||
| 60′ | Kevin Akpoguma | ||
| 62′ | A. TerzicG. Cittadini | ||
| 62′ | K. AkpogumaO. Fayed | ||
| 63′ | D. BirligeaT. Bobcek | ||
| 65′ | L. LipaniS. Esposito | ||
| 68′ | Simone Cinquegrano | ||
| 73′ | Stefano Turati | ||
| 80′ | K. BowieD. Bakola | ||
| 80′ | A. El AzzouziP. Masini | ||
| 90′ | Patrizio Masini |
Match stats
| 7 | Shots | 15 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 48 | Possession % | 52 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 19 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 6 | Saves | 2 |
| 274 | Accurate passes | 318 |
Sassuolo vs Frosinone overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sassuolo vs Frosinone
| Probability | Sassuolo | Draw | Frosinone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.0% | 27.9% | 33.1% |
| Market | 51.5% | 25.5% | 23.0% |
| Final | 48.4% | 26.1% | 25.6% |
| Edge | -12.5% | +2.4% | +10.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sassuolo and Frosinone expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.75
Sassuolo and Frosinone attack and defence ratings
Sassuolo
Frosinone
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sassuolo vs Frosinone: result vs prediction
Sassuolo 1 – 1 Frosinone
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 32 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sassuolo vs Frosinone markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sassuolo | 48.4% | 2.07 | -12.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sassuolo | 48.4% |
| Draw | 26.1% | |
| Frosinone | 25.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.9% |
| No | 43.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sassuolo win | 19.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 61.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 2-1 | 8.7% | |
| 1-0 | 8.0% |
Sassuolo vs Frosinone stats
Sassuolo vs Frosinone head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-13 | Sassuolo | Frosinone | Serie B | 0-1 |
| 2024-12-14 | Frosinone | Sassuolo | Serie B | 1-2 |
| 2024-03-09 | Sassuolo | Frosinone | Serie A | 1-0 |
| 2023-09-17 | Frosinone | Sassuolo | Serie A | 4-2 |
| 2019-05-05 | Sassuolo | Frosinone | Serie A | 2-2 |
| 2018-12-16 | Frosinone | Sassuolo | Serie A | 0-2 |
| 2016-05-08 | Frosinone | Sassuolo | Serie A | 0-1 |
| 2016-01-06 | Sassuolo | Frosinone | Serie A | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sassuolo vs Frosinone odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 51.5%, draw 25.5%, away 23.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.84 | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.79 | 3.70 | 4.09 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.60 | 3.90 |
| Betano | 1.90 | 3.65 | 4.05 |
| Betfair | 1.83 | 3.75 | 4.20 |
| Dafabet | 1.86 | 3.85 | 4.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.77 | 3.70 | 4.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.83 | 3.86 | 4.24 |
| SBO | 1.86 | 3.17 | 3.37 |
| Superbet | 1.85 | 3.80 | 4.10 |
| Unibet | 1.79 | 3.70 | 4.30 |
| William Hill | 1.80 | 3.50 | 3.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .