Bologna
vs
Sassuolo
2 – 2 Full time
| 19′ | J. Doig | ||
| 38′ | C. VolpatoD. Berardi | ||
| 46′ | R. AlhassaneJ. Miranda | ||
| 46′ | T. PobegaN. Moro | ||
| 46′ | J. OdgaardM. Libra | ||
| 50′ | R. Piccoli | ||
| 51′ | Emil Holm | ||
| 53′ | Roberto Piccoli | ||
| 54′ | Jay Idzes | ||
| 56′ | V. Adzic | ||
| 60′ | L. LipaniI. Sulemana | ||
| 60′ | V. AdzicK. Thorstvedt | ||
| 66′ | N. CambiaghiA. Dovbyk | ||
| 80′ | J. DoigR. Obrador | ||
| 80′ | N. MaticA. Ghion | ||
| 86′ | F. BernardeschiS. Mbangula | ||
| 90′ | Artem Dovbyk | ||
| 90′ | A. Dovbyk |
Match stats
| 21 | Shots | 15 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 62 | Possession % | 38 |
| 10 | Corners | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 4 | Saves | 3 |
| 518 | Accurate passes | 305 |
Bologna vs Sassuolo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bologna vs Sassuolo
| Probability | Bologna | Draw | Sassuolo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.8% | 28.8% | 39.4% |
| Market | 46.6% | 27.5% | 25.9% |
| Final | 42.9% | 27.8% | 29.3% |
| Edge | -14.8% | +1.3% | +13.4% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bologna and Sassuolo expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.97
Bologna and Sassuolo attack and defence ratings
Bologna
Sassuolo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Bologna vs Sassuolo: result vs prediction
Bologna 2 – 2 Sassuolo
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bologna vs Sassuolo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bologna | 42.9% | 2.33 | -14.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.2% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bologna | 42.9% |
| Draw | 27.8% | |
| Sassuolo | 29.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.0% |
| No | 38.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bologna win | 15.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.3% | |
| Loss | 68.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 1-2 | 8.9% | |
| 2-1 | 7.9% |
Bologna vs Sassuolo stats
Bologna vs Sassuolo head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Sassuolo | Bologna | Serie A | 0-1 |
| 2025-12-28 | Bologna | Sassuolo | Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2024-02-03 | Bologna | Sassuolo | Serie A | 4-2 |
| 2023-10-28 | Sassuolo | Bologna | Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2023-05-08 | Sassuolo | Bologna | Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2022-11-12 | Bologna | Sassuolo | Serie A | 3-0 |
| 2022-05-15 | Bologna | Sassuolo | Serie A | 1-3 |
| 2021-12-22 | Sassuolo | Bologna | Serie A | 0-3 |
| 2021-02-20 | Sassuolo | Bologna | Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2020-10-18 | Bologna | Sassuolo | Serie A | 3-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bologna vs Sassuolo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.1%, draw 27.7%, away 25.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.97 | 3.40 | 3.75 |
| 1xBet | 2.11 | 3.54 | 3.86 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.60 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.75 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.04 | 3.45 | 3.85 |
| Marathonbet | 2.06 | 3.46 | 3.78 |
| Pinnacle | 2.07 | 3.44 | 3.83 |
| SBO | 1.98 | 3.08 | 3.34 |
| Superbet | 2.02 | 3.45 | 3.90 |
| Unibet | 1.89 | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| codere_it | 1.95 | 3.40 | 4.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
23 snapshots recorded, from .