Frosinone
vs
Venezia
3 – 2 Full time
| 16′ | A. Bella-KotchapR. Sagrado | ||
| 21′ | A. Raimondo | ||
| 33′ | Romano Schmid | ||
| 33′ | Redouane Halhal | ||
| 39′ | A. Raimondo | ||
| 40′ | Gianluca Busio | ||
| 44′ | Simon Sohm | ||
| 46′ | A. RrahmaniJ. Yeboah | ||
| 46′ | S. SohmT. Fernandez | ||
| 57′ | R. SchmidM. Cichella | ||
| 57′ | S. FiniF. Ghedjemis | ||
| 61′ | Anthony Oyono | ||
| 66′ | J. Yeboah | ||
| 70′ | A. AdamsL. Lauberbach | ||
| 74′ | R. Sagrado | ||
| 75′ | R. HapsM. Moreno | ||
| 79′ | G. CittadiniI. Monterisi | ||
| 79′ | A. RaimondoD. Birligea | ||
| 83′ | G. Kvernadze | ||
| 88′ | G. CaloW. Amey | ||
| 89′ | Matias Moreno |
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 15 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 39 | Possession % | 61 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 18 | Fouls | 14 |
| 6 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 5 |
| 161 | Accurate passes | 298 |
Frosinone vs Venezia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Frosinone vs Venezia
| Probability | Frosinone | Draw | Venezia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.4% | 24.5% | 14.2% |
| Market | 36.2% | 26.8% | 37.0% |
| Final | 42.5% | 26.2% | 31.3% |
| Edge | +25.2% | -2.4% | -22.8% |
Why Frosinone
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.04 vs 0.92.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Frosinone below the model: +25.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Frosinone and Venezia expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.96
Frosinone and Venezia attack and defence ratings
Frosinone
Venezia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Frosinone vs Venezia: result vs prediction
Frosinone 3 – 2 Venezia
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Frosinone vs Venezia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Frosinone | 42.5% | 2.35 | +25.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.2% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.8% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Frosinone win | 39.2% | 2.55 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Frosinone | 42.5% |
| Draw | 26.2% | |
| Venezia | 31.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.2% |
| No | 45.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Frosinone win | 39.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 38.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.7% |
| 2-0 | 10.8% | |
| 2-1 | 9.9% |
Frosinone vs Venezia stats
Frosinone vs Venezia head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | Frosinone | Venezia | Italy Serie B | 1-2 |
| 2025-10-04 | Venezia | Frosinone | Italy Serie B | 3-0 |
| 2023-03-05 | Frosinone | Venezia | Serie B | 3-0 |
| 2022-10-14 | Venezia | Frosinone | Serie B | 1-3 |
| 2021-08-15 | Venezia | Frosinone | Coppa Italia | 1-1 |
| 2021-02-06 | Frosinone | Venezia | Serie B | 1-2 |
| 2020-10-03 | Venezia | Frosinone | Serie B | 0-2 |
| 2020-02-08 | Venezia | Frosinone | Serie B | 0-1 |
| 2019-09-20 | Frosinone | Venezia | Serie B | 1-1 |
| 2018-03-29 | Frosinone | Venezia | Serie B | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Frosinone vs Venezia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.3%, draw 28.0%, away 36.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.70 | 3.35 | 2.50 |
| 1xBet | 2.74 | 3.66 | 2.65 |
| Bet365 | 2.60 | 3.50 | 2.60 |
| BetVictor | 2.55 | 3.75 | 2.50 |
| Betano | 2.77 | 3.40 | 2.55 |
| Betfair | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| Dafabet | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.68 | 3.58 | 2.59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.69 | 3.58 | 2.62 |
| SBO | 2.59 | 3.11 | 2.36 |
| Superbet | 2.77 | 3.35 | 2.60 |
| Unibet | 2.70 | 3.35 | 2.48 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 3.30 | 2.50 |
| codere_it | 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
23 snapshots recorded, from .