Genoa
vs
Como
1 – 4 Full time
| 19′ | M. Osmajic | ||
| 25′ | M. Baturina | ||
| 30′ | A. Diao | ||
| 36′ | Djibril Sow | ||
| 40′ | N. Paz | ||
| 46′ | S. SabelliVitinha | ||
| 60′ | Martin Baturina | ||
| 62′ | Leo Østigård | ||
| 66′ | T. BaldanziJunior Messias | ||
| 66′ | M. BaturinaM. Caqueret | ||
| 66′ | A. DouvikasM. Kean | ||
| 67′ | L. ColomboK. Ehizibue | ||
| 75′ | D. SowAmorim | ||
| 78′ | A. Diao | ||
| 80′ | N. PazL. Milla | ||
| 80′ | L. Da CunhaS. Ricci | ||
| 81′ | A. MarcandalliF. Meichtry | ||
| 84′ | A. DiaoM. Liberali |
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 20 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 9 |
| 38 | Possession % | 62 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 7 |
| 6 | Offsides | 2 |
| 5 | Saves | 1 |
| 307 | Accurate passes | 567 |
Genoa vs Como overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Genoa vs Como
| Probability | Genoa | Draw | Como |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.1% | 27.9% | 47.1% |
| Market | 18.6% | 27.1% | 54.3% |
| Final | 20.2% | 27.3% | 52.5% |
| Edge | +6.5% | +0.7% | -7.2% |
Why Como
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.75 vs 1.25.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Genoa and Como expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.00
Genoa and Como attack and defence ratings
Genoa
Como
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Genoa vs Como: result vs prediction
Genoa 1 – 4 Como
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Genoa vs Como markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Como | 52.5% | 1.91 | -7.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Genoa | 20.2% |
| Draw | 27.3% | |
| Como | 52.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.0% |
| No | 39.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 47.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 79.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Como win | 26.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 52.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.1% |
| 1-2 | 9.5% | |
| 0-2 | 7.7% |
Genoa vs Como stats
Genoa vs Como head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Genoa | Como | Serie A | 0-2 |
| 2025-09-15 | Como | Genoa | Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-27 | Como | Genoa | Serie A | 1-0 |
| 2024-11-07 | Genoa | Como | Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2023-04-10 | Como | Genoa | Serie B | 2-2 |
| 2022-11-13 | Genoa | Como | Serie B | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Genoa vs Como odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 18.5%, draw 27.2%, away 54.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 4.90 | 3.20 | 1.80 |
| 1xBet | 5.33 | 3.56 | 1.83 |
| Bet365 | 5.25 | 3.40 | 1.75 |
| BetVictor | 4.75 | 3.60 | 1.75 |
| Betano | 5.50 | 3.55 | 1.78 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 3.50 | 1.75 |
| Dafabet | 5.20 | 3.65 | 1.73 |
| Marathonbet | 5.50 | 3.52 | 1.77 |
| Pinnacle | 5.61 | 3.57 | 1.74 |
| SBO | 4.02 | 3.07 | 1.81 |
| Superbet | 4.75 | 3.40 | 1.85 |
| Unibet | 5.10 | 3.40 | 1.72 |
| William Hill | 4.50 | 3.50 | 1.75 |
| codere_it | 5.40 | 3.50 | 1.72 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
20 snapshots recorded, from .