Lazio
vs
Genoa
1 – 0 Full time
| 14′ | Leo Østigård | ||
| 25′ | D. Frattesi | ||
| 37′ | N. RovellaR. Belahyane | ||
| 58′ | D. SowJunior Messias | ||
| 63′ | N. TavaresA. Pedraza | ||
| 63′ | M. CancellieriG. Isaksen | ||
| 63′ | VitinhaM. Osmajic | ||
| 78′ | T. BaldanziF. Meichtry | ||
| 78′ | J. VasquezAmorim | ||
| 80′ | R. FlorianiM. Lazzari | ||
| 80′ | B. DiaA. Pinamonti | ||
| 90′ | Mattia Zaccagni | ||
| 90′ | Alexsandro Amorim |
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 46 | Possession % | 54 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 18 | Fouls | 6 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 1 | Saves | 1 |
| 418 | Accurate passes | 488 |
Lazio vs Genoa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lazio vs Genoa
| Probability | Lazio | Draw | Genoa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.3% | 31.1% | 42.6% |
| Market | 47.6% | 30.0% | 22.4% |
| Final | 42.3% | 30.3% | 27.4% |
| Edge | -21.4% | +1.2% | +20.2% |
Why Lazio
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lazio and Genoa expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.55
Lazio and Genoa attack and defence ratings
Lazio
Genoa
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lazio vs Genoa: result vs prediction
Lazio 1 – 0 Genoa
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Lazio vs Genoa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lazio | 42.3% | 2.36 | -21.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 73.8% | 1.36 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lazio | 42.3% |
| Draw | 30.3% | |
| Genoa | 27.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.7% |
| No | 46.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lazio win | 11.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.0% | |
| Loss | 73.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.9% |
| 0-0 | 10.2% | |
| 1-2 | 9.0% |
Lazio vs Genoa stats
Lazio vs Genoa head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-30 | Lazio | Genoa | Serie A | 3-2 |
| 2025-09-29 | Genoa | Lazio | Serie A | 0-3 |
| 2025-04-23 | Genoa | Lazio | Serie A | 0-2 |
| 2024-10-27 | Lazio | Genoa | Serie A | 3-0 |
| 2024-04-19 | Genoa | Lazio | Serie A | 0-1 |
| 2023-08-27 | Lazio | Genoa | Serie A | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Lazio vs Genoa odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.7%, draw 30.0%, away 22.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.90 | 3.10 | 4.50 |
| 1xBet | 2.07 | 3.27 | 4.43 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.10 | 4.10 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 2.02 | 3.20 | 4.05 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.00 | 4.50 |
| Dafabet | 2.03 | 3.25 | 4.20 |
| Marathonbet | 2.02 | 3.20 | 4.33 |
| Pinnacle | 2.03 | 3.16 | 4.42 |
| SBO | 1.97 | 2.99 | 3.50 |
| Unibet | 1.92 | 3.15 | 4.25 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.10 | 4.20 |
| onexbet | 1.99 | 3.40 | 4.54 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
17 snapshots recorded, from .