Bologna vs Lazio overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bologna vs Lazio
| Probability | Bologna | Draw | Lazio |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.5% | 31.5% | 30.1% |
| Market | 41.5% | 30.6% | 27.9% |
| Final | 40.7% | 30.8% | 28.4% |
| Edge | -3.0% | +0.9% | +2.2% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bologna and Lazio expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.57
Bologna and Lazio attack and defence ratings
Bologna
Lazio
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Bologna vs Lazio: result vs prediction
Bologna 0 – 1 Lazio
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bologna vs Lazio markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bologna | 40.7% | 2.45 | -3.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bologna | 40.7% |
| Draw | 30.8% | |
| Lazio | 28.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.6% |
| No | 45.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bologna win | 19.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 61.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 15.1% |
| 0-0 | 10.2% | |
| 2-1 | 8.6% |
Bologna vs Lazio stats
Bologna vs Lazio head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | Bologna | Lazio | Serie A | 0-2 |
| 2026-02-11 | Bologna | Lazio | Coppa Italia | 1-1 |
| 2025-12-07 | Lazio | Bologna | Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-16 | Bologna | Lazio | Serie A | 5-0 |
| 2024-11-24 | Lazio | Bologna | Serie A | 3-0 |
| 2024-02-18 | Lazio | Bologna | Serie A | 1-2 |
| 2023-11-03 | Bologna | Lazio | Serie A | 1-0 |
| 2023-03-11 | Bologna | Lazio | Serie A | 0-0 |
| 2023-01-19 | Lazio | Bologna | Coppa Italia | 1-0 |
| 2022-08-14 | Lazio | Bologna | Serie A | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bologna vs Lazio odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.6%, draw 30.6%, away 27.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.26 | 3.10 | 3.30 |
| 1xBet | 2.34 | 3.32 | 3.48 |
| 888Sport | 2.20 | 3.00 | 3.25 |
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 3.10 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.25 |
| Betano | 2.32 | 3.10 | 3.40 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.10 | 3.50 |
| Dafabet | 2.21 | 3.25 | 3.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.29 | 3.25 | 3.40 |
| Pinnacle | 2.35 | 3.13 | 3.53 |
| SBO | 2.28 | 3.04 | 3.21 |
| Superbet | 2.30 | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| Unibet | 2.23 | 3.10 | 3.35 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.10 | 3.30 |
| betfair_ex_eu | 2.24 | 3.30 | 3.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .