Serie A · Full time ·Matchday 1

Frosinone vs Juventus

0 – 1 Full time

Stadio Benito Stirpe, FrosinoneReferee: Giovanni Ayroldi, Italy

Frosinone 24%
Draw 22%
Juventus 55%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Frosinone vs Juventus overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Frosinone vs Juventus

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFrosinoneDrawJuventus
Model56.4%24.3%19.3%
Market12.8%20.6%66.6%
Final23.7%21.5%54.8%
Edge+43.6%+3.7%-47.3%

Confidence: Medium

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Frosinone ↓ / Juventus → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 11% 6% 2 8% 10% 6% 3 6% 7% 4+ 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 65%
No goals 5%

Frosinone and Juventus expected goals

Frosinone 2.12
Juventus 1.21

Total expected goals: 3.33

Frosinone and Juventus attack and defence ratings

Frosinone

Attack 1.86 +86%
Defence 0.69 -31%

Juventus

Attack 1.53 +53%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Frosinone vs Juventus: result vs prediction

Frosinone 0 – 1 Juventus

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 1 fixtures

Serie A

Before and after this match

Frosinone vs Juventus markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Juventus 54.8% 1.83 -47.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64.6% 1.55 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.6% 1.57 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 78.5% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 80.7% 1.24 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Frosinone23.7%
Draw21.5%
Juventus54.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564.6%
Under 2.535.4%
Both teams to scoreYes63.6%
No36.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)45.2%
12 (either side)78.5%
X2 (draw or away)76.3%
Handicap -1Juventus win8.3%
Push (exactly one goal)11.0%
Loss80.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.0%
2-19.7%
2-08.0%

Frosinone vs Juventus stats

Frosinone and Juventus recent form

newest first
Frosinone WWWWWD
Juventus DLWDDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Frosinone vs Juventus head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Frosinone wins 0Draws 2Juventus wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-02-25JuventusFrosinoneSerie A3-2
2023-12-23FrosinoneJuventusSerie A1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Frosinone vs Juventus odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 12.8%, draw 20.8%, away 66.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 7.60 4.30 1.42
1xBet 7.50 4.92 1.47
888Sport 6.50 4.33 1.44
Bet365 7.50 4.50 1.42
BetVictor 7.50 4.75 1.40
Betano 7.50 4.65 1.47
Betfair 7.50 4.60 1.44
Dafabet 7.00 4.90 1.45
Marathonbet 7.40 4.85 1.45
Pinnacle 7.54 4.78 1.44
SBO 7.05 4.57 1.40
Superbet 6.80 4.90 1.44
Unibet 8.00 4.50 1.38
William Hill 6.50 4.40 1.44
betfair_ex_eu 8.00 4.60 1.51

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 7.50 —
X 4.65 ▲ +0.32
2 1.44 —

9 snapshots recorded, from .