Serie A · Full time ·Matchday 2

Juventus vs Parma Calcio 1913

2 – 0 Full time

Allianz Stadium, TurinReferee: Francesco Fourneau, Italy

Juventus 76%
Draw 16%
Parma Calcio 1913 8%

Confidence: High  ·  blended with market odds

Juventus vs Parma Calcio 1913 overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Juventus vs Parma Calcio 1913

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityJuventusDrawParma Calcio 1913
Model69.8%21.0%9.2%
Market78.3%14.7%7.0%
Final76.2%16.3%7.5%
Edge-8.5%+6.3%+2.2%

Confidence: High

Why Juventus

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.24 vs 0.75.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Juventus ↓ / Parma Calcio 1 → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 10% 10% 2 13% 9% 3 9% 7% 4+ 9% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 57%
No goals 7%

Juventus and Parma Calcio 1913 expected goals

Juventus 2.24
Parma Calcio 1913 0.75

Total expected goals: 2.99

Juventus and Parma Calcio 1913 attack and defence ratings

Juventus

Attack 1.57 +57%
Defence 0.77 -23%

Parma Calcio 1913

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Juventus vs Parma Calcio 1913: result vs prediction

Juventus 2 – 0 Parma Calcio 1913

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 2 fixtures

Serie A

Before and after this match

Juventus vs Parma Calcio 1913 markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Juventus 76.2% 1.31 -8.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 57.6% 1.74 — —
Both teams to score No 51.3% 1.95 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 92.5% 1.08 — —
Handicap -1 Juventus win 47.5% 2.10 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Juventus76.2%
Draw16.3%
Parma Calcio 19137.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.557.6%
Under 2.542.4%
Both teams to scoreYes48.7%
No51.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)92.5%
12 (either side)83.7%
X2 (draw or away)23.8%
Handicap -1Juventus win47.5%
Push (exactly one goal)22.1%
Loss30.4%
Correct score (top 3)2-012.6%
1-110.1%
1-09.6%

Juventus vs Parma Calcio 1913 stats

Juventus and Parma Calcio 1913 recent form

newest first
Juventus WDLWDD
Parma Calcio 1913 LWWLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Juventus vs Parma Calcio 1913 head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

2Juventus wins 1Draws 1Parma Calcio 1913 wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-01Parma Calcio 1913JuventusSerie A1-4
2025-08-24JuventusParma Calcio 1913Serie A2-0
2025-04-23Parma Calcio 1913JuventusSerie A1-0
2024-10-30JuventusParma Calcio 1913Serie A2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Juventus vs Parma Calcio 1913 odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 78.2%, draw 14.8%, away 7.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.20 5.75 16.00
1xBet 1.24 6.78 15.50
Bet365 1.22 7.00 11.00
BetVictor 1.20 6.00 13.00
Betano 1.23 6.20 13.50
Betfair 1.20 7.00 15.00
Dafabet 1.22 6.60 14.00
Marathonbet 1.22 6.50 15.25
Pinnacle 1.22 6.74 13.65
SBO 1.20 5.32 9.64
Superbet 1.23 6.60 13.00
Unibet 1.20 6.25 14.00
William Hill 1.22 6.00 13.00
onexbet 1.42 6.41 6.41

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.22 ▼ -0.20
X 6.50 ▲ +0.09
2 13.65 ▲ +7.24

17 snapshots recorded, from .