Sassuolo vs Torino overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sassuolo vs Torino
| Probability | Sassuolo | Draw | Torino |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.2% | 24.8% | 23.9% |
| Market | 42.3% | 28.8% | 28.8% |
| Final | 44.5% | 27.8% | 27.6% |
| Edge | +8.9% | -4.0% | -4.9% |
Why Sassuolo
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.07 vs 1.39.
- The market prices Sassuolo below the model: +8.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sassuolo and Torino expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.46
Sassuolo and Torino attack and defence ratings
Sassuolo
Torino
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sassuolo vs Torino: result vs prediction
Sassuolo 2 – 1 Torino
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sassuolo vs Torino markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sassuolo | 44.5% | 2.25 | +8.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sassuolo | 44.5% |
| Draw | 27.8% | |
| Torino | 27.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.5% |
| No | 32.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sassuolo win | 31.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.8% | |
| Loss | 48.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.9% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 2-0 | 6.7% |
Sassuolo vs Torino stats
Sassuolo vs Torino head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-08 | Torino | Sassuolo | Serie A | 2-1 |
| 2025-12-21 | Sassuolo | Torino | Serie A | 0-1 |
| 2024-02-10 | Sassuolo | Torino | Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2023-11-06 | Torino | Sassuolo | Serie A | 2-1 |
| 2023-04-03 | Sassuolo | Torino | Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2022-09-17 | Torino | Sassuolo | Serie A | 0-1 |
| 2022-01-23 | Torino | Sassuolo | Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2021-09-17 | Sassuolo | Torino | Serie A | 0-1 |
| 2021-03-17 | Torino | Sassuolo | Serie A | 3-2 |
| 2020-10-23 | Sassuolo | Torino | Serie A | 3-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sassuolo vs Torino odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.3%, draw 28.8%, away 28.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.20 | 3.25 | 3.25 |
| 1xBet | 2.33 | 3.42 | 3.40 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.30 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.13 |
| Betano | 2.27 | 3.25 | 3.30 |
| Betfair | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| Dafabet | 2.29 | 3.35 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 2.28 | 3.34 | 3.32 |
| Pinnacle | 2.29 | 3.35 | 3.35 |
| SBO | 2.20 | 3.04 | 2.89 |
| Superbet | 2.27 | 3.35 | 3.30 |
| Unibet | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.15 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| unibet_fr | 2.25 | 3.20 | 2.85 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .