Napoli
vs
Como
1 – 2 Full time
| 17′ | M. Baturina | ||
| 30′ | R. Hojlund | ||
| 34′ | A. Douvikas | ||
| 37′ | Giovanni Di Lorenzo | ||
| 56′ | M. OliveraL. Spinazzola | ||
| 56′ | S. McTominayK. De Bruyne | ||
| 56′ | N. LangAlisson Santos | ||
| 58′ | Y. CoutoI. Smolcic | ||
| 58′ | M. BaturinaM. Caqueret | ||
| 65′ | A. DiaoM. O. Kempf | ||
| 66′ | L. Da CunhaM. Perrone | ||
| 80′ | F. AnguissaDavid Neres | ||
| 80′ | R. HojlundL. Lucca | ||
| 81′ | N. PazKaiki |
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 21 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 42 | Possession % | 58 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 5 |
| 9 | Offsides | 0 |
| 4 | Saves | 1 |
| 385 | Accurate passes | 555 |
Napoli vs Como overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Napoli vs Como
| Probability | Napoli | Draw | Como |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.9% | 30.8% | 35.3% |
| Market | 38.1% | 30.5% | 31.4% |
| Final | 37.0% | 30.6% | 32.4% |
| Edge | -4.2% | +0.3% | +3.9% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Napoli and Como expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.68
Napoli and Como attack and defence ratings
Napoli
Como
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Napoli vs Como: result vs prediction
Napoli 1 – 2 Como
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Napoli vs Como markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Napoli | 37.0% | 2.70 | -4.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Napoli | 37.0% |
| Draw | 30.6% | |
| Como | 32.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.0% |
| No | 43.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Napoli win | 16.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.6% | |
| Loss | 66.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 9.3% | |
| 1-2 | 8.3% |
Napoli vs Como stats
Napoli vs Como head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Como | Napoli | Serie A | 0-0 |
| 2026-02-10 | Napoli | Como | Coppa Italia | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Napoli | Como | Serie A | 0-0 |
| 2025-02-23 | Como | Napoli | Serie A | 2-1 |
| 2024-10-04 | Napoli | Como | Serie A | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Napoli vs Como odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 38.3%, draw 30.5%, away 31.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.54 | 3.20 | 2.76 |
| 1xBet | 2.55 | 3.31 | 3.12 |
| Bet365 | 2.45 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.40 | 3.13 | 2.90 |
| Betano | 2.50 | 3.10 | 3.05 |
| Betfair | 2.55 | 3.10 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.55 | 3.15 | 3.05 |
| Marathonbet | 2.49 | 3.24 | 3.05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.52 | 3.21 | 3.08 |
| SBO | 2.43 | 2.88 | 2.69 |
| Unibet | 2.38 | 3.10 | 3.05 |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 3.10 | 2.90 |
| onexbet | 2.06 | 3.29 | 4.42 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
17 snapshots recorded, from .