Udinese vs Como overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Udinese vs Como
| Probability | Udinese | Draw | Como |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.0% | 30.0% | 46.1% |
| Market | 20.8% | 27.1% | 52.2% |
| Final | 21.6% | 27.8% | 50.7% |
| Edge | +3.2% | +2.9% | -6.1% |
Why Como
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.57 vs 1.09.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Udinese and Como expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.66
Udinese and Como attack and defence ratings
Udinese
Como
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Udinese vs Como: result vs prediction
Udinese 1 – 1 Como
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Udinese vs Como markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Como | 50.7% | 1.97 | -6.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.4% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 78.4% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.9% | 1.85 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Udinese | 21.6% |
| Draw | 27.8% | |
| Como | 50.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.9% |
| No | 45.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 49.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 78.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Como win | 25.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.1% | |
| Loss | 53.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 1-2 | 9.4% | |
| 0-0 | 9.4% |
Udinese vs Como stats
Udinese vs Como head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Udinese | Como | Serie A | 0-0 |
| 2026-01-03 | Como | Udinese | Serie A | 1-0 |
| 2025-01-20 | Como | Udinese | Serie A | 4-1 |
| 2024-09-01 | Udinese | Como | Serie A | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Udinese vs Como odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 21.1%, draw 27.1%, away 51.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 4.40 | 3.45 | 1.81 |
| 1xBet | 4.86 | 3.62 | 1.88 |
| 888Sport | 4.40 | 3.30 | 1.80 |
| Bet365 | 4.50 | 3.60 | 1.83 |
| BetVictor | 4.50 | 3.50 | 1.80 |
| Betano | 4.90 | 3.60 | 1.85 |
| Betfair | 4.75 | 3.40 | 1.75 |
| Dafabet | 4.60 | 3.55 | 1.84 |
| Marathonbet | 4.75 | 3.54 | 1.83 |
| Pinnacle | 4.91 | 3.53 | 1.84 |
| SBO | 4.33 | 3.39 | 1.82 |
| Superbet | 4.50 | 3.55 | 1.85 |
| Unibet | 4.90 | 3.30 | 1.77 |
| William Hill | 4.40 | 3.30 | 1.83 |
| unibet_fr | 4.50 | 3.50 | 1.82 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .