Torino vs AC Milan overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Torino vs AC Milan
| Probability | Torino | Draw | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.7% | 27.0% | 31.2% |
| Market | 21.7% | 28.1% | 50.1% |
| Final | 26.7% | 27.9% | 45.4% |
| Edge | +20.0% | -1.1% | -18.9% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Torino and AC Milan expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.27
Torino and AC Milan attack and defence ratings
Torino
AC Milan
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Torino vs AC Milan: result vs prediction
Torino 1 – 2 AC Milan
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Torino vs AC Milan markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AC Milan | 45.4% | 2.20 | -18.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 73.3% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Torino | 26.7% |
| Draw | 27.9% | |
| AC Milan | 45.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.5% |
| No | 33.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 54.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | AC Milan win | 15.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.7% | |
| Loss | 68.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.1% |
| 2-1 | 8.9% | |
| 1-2 | 7.6% |
Torino vs AC Milan stats
Torino vs AC Milan head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | AC Milan | Torino | Serie A | 3-2 |
| 2025-12-08 | Torino | AC Milan | Serie A | 2-3 |
| 2025-02-22 | Torino | AC Milan | Serie A | 2-1 |
| 2024-08-17 | AC Milan | Torino | Serie A | 2-2 |
| 2024-05-18 | Torino | AC Milan | Serie A | 3-1 |
| 2023-08-26 | AC Milan | Torino | Serie A | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Torino vs AC Milan odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 21.6%, draw 27.8%, away 50.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 4.65 | 3.60 | 1.74 |
| 1xBet | 4.51 | 3.60 | 1.94 |
| 888Sport | 4.00 | 3.30 | 1.85 |
| Bet365 | 4.33 | 3.40 | 1.90 |
| BetVictor | 4.40 | 3.30 | 1.90 |
| Betano | 4.45 | 3.45 | 1.95 |
| Betfair | 4.50 | 3.40 | 1.91 |
| Dafabet | 4.60 | 3.65 | 1.82 |
| Marathonbet | 4.45 | 3.54 | 1.91 |
| Pinnacle | 4.48 | 3.52 | 1.92 |
| SBO | 3.92 | 3.32 | 1.91 |
| Superbet | 4.20 | 3.45 | 1.95 |
| Unibet | 4.20 | 3.30 | 1.89 |
| William Hill | 4.00 | 3.30 | 1.85 |
| betfair_ex_eu | 4.80 | 3.70 | 1.89 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .