Fiorentina
vs
Frosinone
0 – 3 Full time
Fiorentina vs Frosinone overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fiorentina vs Frosinone
| Probability | Fiorentina | Draw | Frosinone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 10.2% | 19.0% | 70.8% |
| Market | 58.5% | 23.4% | 18.1% |
| Final | 46.4% | 22.3% | 31.3% |
| Edge | -48.3% | -4.5% | +52.8% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Fiorentina and Frosinone expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.49
Fiorentina and Frosinone attack and defence ratings
Fiorentina
Frosinone
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Fiorentina vs Frosinone: result vs prediction
Fiorentina 0 – 3 Frosinone
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Fiorentina vs Frosinone markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fiorentina | 46.4% | 2.15 | -48.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.8% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 89.7% | 1.11 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fiorentina | 46.4% |
| Draw | 22.3% | |
| Frosinone | 31.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.6% |
| No | 42.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Fiorentina win | 3.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 6.5% | |
| Loss | 89.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 9.9% |
| 1-2 | 9.3% | |
| 1-1 | 8.7% |
Fiorentina vs Frosinone stats
Fiorentina and Frosinone recent form
| Fiorentina |
LWDWDL |
| Frosinone |
LWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Fiorentina vs Frosinone head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-11 | Fiorentina | Frosinone | Serie A | 5-1 |
| 2023-09-28 | Frosinone | Fiorentina | Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2019-04-07 | Fiorentina | Frosinone | Serie A | 0-1 |
| 2018-11-09 | Frosinone | Fiorentina | Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2016-03-20 | Frosinone | Fiorentina | Serie A | 0-0 |
| 2015-11-01 | Fiorentina | Frosinone | Serie A | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Fiorentina vs Frosinone odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 58.6%, draw 23.3%, away 18.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.63 | 3.95 | 5.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.67 | 4.30 | 5.47 |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 4.10 | 5.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.60 | 3.90 | 5.25 |
| Betano | 1.62 | 4.05 | 5.30 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.65 | 4.10 | 5.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.63 | 4.20 | 5.35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.64 | 4.18 | 5.33 |
| SBO | 1.62 | 3.50 | 4.46 |
| Superbet | 1.66 | 4.10 | 5.10 |
| Unibet | 1.58 | 3.90 | 5.40 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| codere_it | 1.56 | 4.30 | 5.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .