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Coppa Italia · Full time ·Round of 32

Parma Calcio 1913 vs Cremonese

0 – 2 Full time

5′S. Lottici Tessadri
41′A. Licina
46′A. KonateM. Keita
46′O. DialloD. Romero
46′N. ElphegeE. B. Toure
46′Y. RocchettiS. Luperto
46′S. EliaJ. Vandeputte
50′Lautaro Valenti
58′Adin Ličina
63′M. FriganP. Almqvist
70′M. NastiM. De Luca
78′F. CarboniE. Valeri
78′A. VogliaccoM. Bianchetti
85′T. BertiM. Djuric

Stadio Ennio Tardini, ParmaReferee: K. Bonacina

Parma Calcio 1913 47%
Draw 29%
Cremonese 24%

Confidence: High  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 6
49 Possession % 51
10 Corners 10
9 Fouls 7
9 Offsides 0
4 Saves 2
406 Accurate passes 442

Parma Calcio 1913 vs Cremonese overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Parma Calcio 1913 vs Cremonese

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityParma Calcio 1913DrawCremonese
Model58.2%28.9%12.9%
Market43.8%29.1%27.1%
Final47.4%29.1%23.5%
Edge+14.4%-0.2%-14.2%

Confidence: High

Why Parma Calcio 1913

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.45 vs 0.55.
  • The market prices Parma Calcio 1913 below the model: +14.4 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Parma Calcio 1 ↓ / Cremonese → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 15% 1 19% 12% 2 14% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 85%
2+ goals 60%
3+ goals 32%
No goals 15%

Parma Calcio 1913 and Cremonese expected goals

Parma Calcio 1913 1.45
Cremonese 0.55

Total expected goals: 1.99

Parma Calcio 1913 and Cremonese attack and defence ratings

Parma Calcio 1913

Attack 0.73 -27%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Cremonese

Attack 0.68 -32%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Parma Calcio 1913 vs Cremonese: result vs prediction

Parma Calcio 1913 0 – 2 Cremonese

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 32 fixtures

Coppa Italia

Before and after this match

Parma Calcio 1913 vs Cremonese markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Parma Calcio 1913 47.4% 2.11 +14.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 67.8% 1.47 — —
Both teams to score No 66.6% 1.50 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 76.5% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 41.8% 2.39 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Parma Calcio 191347.4%
Draw29.1%
Cremonese23.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.532.2%
Under 2.567.8%
Both teams to scoreYes33.4%
No66.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.5%
12 (either side)70.9%
X2 (draw or away)52.6%
Handicap -1Parma Calcio 1913 win30.7%
Push (exactly one goal)27.5%
Loss41.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-018.6%
0-014.7%
2-014.2%

Parma Calcio 1913 vs Cremonese stats

Parma Calcio 1913 and Cremonese recent form

newest first
Parma Calcio 1913 LLWWLL
Cremonese LLWLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Parma Calcio 1913 vs Cremonese head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Parma Calcio 1913 wins 2Draws 4Cremonese wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-21Parma Calcio 1913CremoneseSerie A0-2
2025-09-21CremoneseParma Calcio 1913Serie A0-0
2024-05-05Parma Calcio 1913CremoneseSerie B1-1
2023-10-01CremoneseParma Calcio 1913Serie B1-2
2022-02-15CremoneseParma Calcio 1913Serie B3-1
2021-09-19Parma Calcio 1913CremoneseSerie B1-2
2018-01-20CremoneseParma Calcio 1913Serie B1-0
2017-08-25Parma Calcio 1913CremoneseSerie B1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Parma Calcio 1913 vs Cremonese odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.8%, draw 29.1%, away 27.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.14 3.25 3.40
1xBet 2.11 3.22 3.46
Bet365 2.15 3.20 3.50
BetVictor 2.10 3.10 3.40
Betano 2.15 3.20 3.70
Betfair 2.10 3.40 3.50
Dafabet 2.20 3.30 3.55
Marathonbet 2.09 3.22 3.44
Pinnacle 2.17 3.32 3.62
SBO 2.09 3.04 3.28
Superbet 2.17 3.25 3.50
Unibet 2.16 3.20 3.35
William Hill 2.10 3.10 3.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.14 ▲ +0.04
X 3.22 ▼ -0.03
2 3.46 ▲ +0.04

3 snapshots recorded, from .