Cremonese
vs
Padova
3 – 1 Full time
| 1′ | Federico Bonazzoli | ||
| 5′ | Adin Ličina | ||
| 45′ | Marco Pompetti | ||
| 56′ | Federico Bonazzoli | ||
| 57′ | Gianluca CaprariKevin Lasagna | ||
| 57′ | Pietro FusiKevin Varas | ||
| 65′ | Federico BonazzoliMarco Nasti | ||
| 70′ | Alessandro VogliaccoSalvatore Elia | ||
| 71′ | Yuri RocchettiFellipe Jack | ||
| 71′ | Adin LičinaMorten Thorsby | ||
| 72′ | Matteo CocchiFrancesco Di Mariano | ||
| 72′ | Christian PastinaAlessandro Capelli | ||
| 77′ | Jari VandeputteMichele Collocolo | ||
| 82′ | Luca MoroAlexander Seghetti |
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 6 |
| 1 | Offsides | 8 |
| 6 | Saves | 3 |
| 478 | Accurate passes | 383 |
Cremonese vs Padova overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cremonese vs Padova
| Probability | Cremonese | Draw | Padova |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.2% | 32.3% | 30.6% |
| Market | 50.4% | 27.4% | 22.2% |
| Final | 47.1% | 28.6% | 24.3% |
| Edge | -13.2% | +4.9% | +8.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cremonese and Padova expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.13
Cremonese and Padova attack and defence ratings
Cremonese
Padova
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cremonese vs Padova: result vs prediction
Cremonese 3 – 1 Padova
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cremonese vs Padova markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cremonese | 47.1% | 2.12 | -13.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cremonese | 47.1% |
| Draw | 28.6% | |
| Padova | 24.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.2% |
| No | 55.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cremonese win | 16.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.3% | |
| Loss | 62.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 13.2% | |
| 1-0 | 12.1% |
Cremonese vs Padova stats
Cremonese vs Padova head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-02-09 | Cremonese | Padova | Serie B | 0-0 |
| 2018-09-23 | Padova | Cremonese | Serie B | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cremonese vs Padova odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.4%, draw 27.4%, away 22.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.87 | 3.40 | 4.18 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.25 | 4.20 |
| BetVictor | 1.85 | 3.40 | 3.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.85 | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93 | 3.50 | 4.29 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.25 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .