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Italy Serie B · Full time ·Matchday 3

Verona vs Arezzo

5 – 0 Full time

3′Abdou Harroui
39′Dailon Livramento
40′Julian Illanes
42′Alessandro ArenaMauro Coppolaro
45′Pietro CianciAlberto Cerri
45′Camillo TavernelliAndrea Cagnano
45′Abdou HarrouiTomas Suslov
50′Gabriele Zappa
58′Samuele Mulattieri
59′Dailon LivramentoEdoardo Iannoni
61′Gennaro·IaccarinoMattia Viviani
73′Antoine BernedeGrigoris Kastanos
73′Amin SarrSalvatore Cerbone
75′Salvatore Cerbone
78′Salvatore Cerbone
79′andrea le borgneNunzio Lella
85′Edoardo Iannoni
86′mattia salaShaka Mawuli Eklu
90′Shaka Mawuli Eklu

Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi, VeronaReferee: Luca Zufferli, Italy

Verona 49%
Draw 27%
Arezzo 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

16 Shots 4
9 Shots on target 1
68 Possession % 32
6 Corners 0
19 Fouls 10
3 Offsides 0
1 Saves 5
529 Accurate passes 179

Verona vs Arezzo overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Verona vs Arezzo

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityVeronaDrawArezzo
Model34.3%30.5%35.1%
Market54.1%26.2%19.7%
Final49.2%27.3%23.6%
Edge-19.8%+4.4%+15.5%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Verona ↓ / Arezzo → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 10% 1 10% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 70%
3+ goals 42%
No goals 11%

Verona and Arezzo expected goals

Verona 1.17
Arezzo 1.20

Total expected goals: 2.37

Verona and Arezzo attack and defence ratings

Verona

Attack 0.77 -23%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Arezzo

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Verona vs Arezzo: result vs prediction

Verona 5 – 0 Arezzo

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Italy Serie B

Before and after this match

Verona vs Arezzo markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Verona 49.2% 2.03 -19.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 57.9% 1.73 — —
Both teams to score No 50.6% 1.98 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 76.4% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 66.0% 1.52 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Verona49.2%
Draw27.3%
Arezzo23.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.542.1%
Under 2.557.9%
Both teams to scoreYes49.4%
No50.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.4%
12 (either side)72.7%
X2 (draw or away)50.8%
Handicap -1Verona win14.7%
Push (exactly one goal)19.3%
Loss66.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.5%
0-010.7%
0-19.9%

Verona vs Arezzo stats

Verona and Arezzo recent form

newest first
Verona WDLDLD
Arezzo LWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Verona vs Arezzo head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Verona vs Arezzo odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 54.1%, draw 26.2%, away 19.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.72 3.54 4.90
Bet365 1.70 3.60 4.50
BetVictor 1.70 3.50 4.50
Marathonbet 1.70 3.54 4.95
Pinnacle 1.77 3.53 5.32
William Hill 1.73 3.50 4.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.71 ▲ +0.04
X 3.54 ▼ -0.13
2 4.70 ▼ -0.21

3 snapshots recorded, from .