Italy Serie B · 2026-09-11T19:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 4

Benevento vs Verona

3 – 1 Full time

17′			Edoardo·Pierozzi
24′			Amin Sarr
32′			Amin Sarr
45′			Antoine BernedeGrigoris Kastanos
48′			Christian Kouan
59′			David Okereke
61′			Mattia CompagnonTomas Suslov
61′			andrea le borgneAbdou Harroui
63′			Seid Korac
65′			Davide Lamesta
69′			Amin SarrDailon Livramento
71′			Davide LamestaChristian Dalle Mura
74′			Antonis Siatounis
74′			Antonis SiatounisMattia Mannini
78′			David OkerekeMarco Tumminello
82′			Edoardo IannoniSalvatore Cerbone
88′			Salvatore Cerbone
90′			Francesco Salvemini
90′			Tomas Suslov

Stadio Ciro Vigorito, BeneventoReferee: Livio Marinelli, Italy

Benevento

33%

Draw

29%

Verona

39%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

13	Shots	11
6	Shots on target	3
42	Possession %	58
4	Corners	9
10	Fouls	12
2	Offsides	2
2	Saves	3
303	Accurate passes	427

Benevento vs Verona overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Benevento vs Verona

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Benevento	Draw	Verona
Model	35.1%	27.0%	37.9%
Market	31.9%	29.2%	38.9%
Final	32.7%	28.6%	38.7%
Edge	+3.2%	-2.2%	-1.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Verona

Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

93%

2+ goals

80%

3+ goals

56%

No goals

Benevento and Verona expected goals

Benevento

1.42

Verona

1.49

Total expected goals: 2.91

Benevento and Verona attack and defence ratings

Benevento

Attack

1.05 +5%

Defence

1.30 +30%

Verona

Attack

1.06 +6%

Defence

0.92 -8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Benevento vs Verona: result vs prediction

Benevento 3 – 1 Verona

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Italy Serie B

Empoli v Arezzo — match page · 2026-09-11
Pisa vs Virtus Entella · 2026-09-11
Padova v Ascoli — match page · 2026-09-12
Sudtirol vs Modena — team news & stats · 2026-09-12
Vicenza Virtus vs Juve Stabia · 2026-09-12
Catanzaro v Carrarese — match page · 2026-09-12
Cesena vs Cremonese — team news & stats · 2026-09-12
Avellino vs Palermo · 2026-09-13

Before and after this match

Benevento, previous: Ascoli v Benevento analysis
Benevento, next: Carrarese vs Benevento prediction
Verona, previous: Verona vs Arezzo prediction
Verona, next: Verona vs Vicenza Virtus: odds and pick

Benevento vs Verona markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Verona	38.7%	2.59	-1.0%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	55.6%	1.80	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	59.9%	1.67	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	71.4%	1.40	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	62.0%	1.61	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Benevento	32.7%
	Draw	28.6%
	Verona	38.7%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	55.6%
	Under 2.5	44.4%
Both teams to score	Yes	59.9%
	No	40.1%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	61.3%
	12 (either side)	71.4%
	X2 (draw or away)	67.3%
Handicap -1	Verona win	18.9%
	Push (exactly one goal)	19.2%
	Loss	62.0%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	12.7%
	1-2	8.6%
	2-1	8.2%

Benevento vs Verona stats

Benevento and Verona recent form

newest first

Benevento	LDLLW
Verona	WWDLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.

Benevento vs Verona head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3Benevento wins 1Draws 4Verona wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2021-03-03	Benevento	Verona	Serie A	0-3
2020-11-02	Verona	Benevento	Serie A	3-1
2019-04-22	Verona	Benevento	Serie B	0-3
2018-12-09	Benevento	Verona	Serie B	0-1
2018-04-04	Benevento	Verona	Serie A	3-0
2017-10-16	Verona	Benevento	Serie A	1-0
2017-02-03	Verona	Benevento	Serie B	2-2
2016-09-10	Benevento	Verona	Serie B	2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Benevento vs Verona odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 32.1%, draw 29.1%, away 38.8%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
10Bet	2.80	3.15	2.52
1xBet	2.97	3.20	2.40
888Sport	2.75	3.00	2.50
Bet365	2.90	3.20	2.40
BetVictor	2.88	3.20	2.30
Betano	2.87	3.25	2.52
Betfair	3.00	3.25	2.38
Dafabet	2.90	3.25	2.50
Marathonbet	2.96	3.20	2.38
Pinnacle	3.17	3.14	2.51
SBO	2.61	2.98	2.32
Superbet	2.90	3.25	2.52
Unibet	3.05	3.25	2.32
William Hill	2.90	3.00	2.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.93 ▼ -0.27

X 3.20 ▲ +0.08

2 2.40 ▲ +0.15

9 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-07T16:10:02Z.