Sudtirol
vs
Modena
1 – 1 Full time
| 22′ | Fabio Rispoli | ||
| 35′ | Alvin Okoro | ||
| 60′ | Kevin ZeroliRares Burnete | ||
| 63′ | Simone Tronchin | ||
| 68′ | Alvin OkoroKenny Meddy Mixtur | ||
| 68′ | Vasco Rafael Fortes LopesSimone Davì | ||
| 68′ | Simone SantoroAndrea Belotti | ||
| 72′ | Giacomo Stabile | ||
| 77′ | Giacomo OlzerPaulo Azzi | ||
| 77′ | Francesco ZampanoAntonio Imputato | ||
| 79′ | Fabio RispoliFabian Tait | ||
| 79′ | Giacomo StabileDavide Veroli | ||
| 88′ | Giuseppe Ambrosino | ||
| 90′ | Daniel Tonoli | ||
| 90′ | Alessandro BiancoLuca Bacchin | ||
| 90′ | Giuseppe CasoWisdom Acquah |
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 18 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 32 | Possession % | 68 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 7 | Saves | 2 |
| 389 | Accurate passes | 392 |
Sudtirol vs Modena overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sudtirol vs Modena
| Probability | Sudtirol | Draw | Modena |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.0% | 32.3% | 30.7% |
| Market | 30.5% | 31.8% | 37.7% |
| Final | 32.2% | 31.9% | 35.9% |
| Edge | +6.5% | +0.5% | -7.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sudtirol and Modena expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.13
Sudtirol and Modena attack and defence ratings
Sudtirol
Modena
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sudtirol vs Modena: result vs prediction
Sudtirol 1 – 1 Modena
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sudtirol vs Modena markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Modena | 35.9% | 2.78 | -7.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sudtirol | 32.2% |
| Draw | 31.9% | |
| Modena | 35.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.2% |
| No | 55.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Modena win | 12.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.7% | |
| Loss | 69.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 13.2% | |
| 1-0 | 12.1% |
Sudtirol vs Modena stats
Sudtirol vs Modena head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Sudtirol | Modena | Italy Serie B | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-23 | Modena | Sudtirol | Italy Serie B | 0-0 |
| 2024-12-29 | Modena | Sudtirol | Serie B | 0-0 |
| 2024-08-17 | Sudtirol | Modena | Serie B | 2-1 |
| 2024-04-27 | Modena | Sudtirol | Serie B | 1-0 |
| 2023-09-26 | Sudtirol | Modena | Serie B | 0-0 |
| 2023-05-19 | Modena | Sudtirol | Serie B | 2-1 |
| 2022-12-26 | Sudtirol | Modena | Serie B | 0-2 |
| 2022-05-14 | Sudtirol | Modena | Serie C - Girone A | 0-2 |
| 2021-03-17 | Sudtirol | Modena | Serie C - Girone B | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sudtirol vs Modena odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 31.3%, draw 31.5%, away 37.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.90 | 2.92 | 2.62 |
| 1xBet | 3.10 | 2.92 | 2.49 |
| Bet365 | 2.90 | 2.90 | 2.55 |
| BetVictor | 2.80 | 3.13 | 2.38 |
| Betano | 3.05 | 3.00 | 2.55 |
| Betfair | 3.10 | 2.88 | 2.45 |
| Dafabet | 2.95 | 3.00 | 2.65 |
| Marathonbet | 3.12 | 2.93 | 2.47 |
| Pinnacle | 3.24 | 2.95 | 2.60 |
| SBO | 2.86 | 2.93 | 2.38 |
| William Hill | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.45 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .