Garuda Lions
Today
Italy Serie B · Full time ·Matchday 4

Pisa vs Virtus Entella

1 – 4 Full time

2′Bernat Guiu
32′Luigi Cuppone
35′Mehdi Léris
45′Andrea Franzoni
45′Andrea PetagnaSimone Zanon
45′Isak VuralStefano Moreo
45′Matteo TramoniFilippo Pittarello
45′Simone CanestrelliAntonio Caracciolo
69′Luca VignaliNicolas Previtali
69′Leonardo BenedettiM Tirelli
73′Arturo CalabresiAndrea Primasso
73′Omar Correia
77′Bernat GuiuTommaso Annoni
77′Luigi CupponeFrancesco Forte
78′Luca Parodi
80′M Tirelli
83′Niccolo SquizzatoAndrea Tiritiello
90′Andrea Primasso
90′Stefano Di Mario

Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani, PisaReferee: Ermanno Feliciani, Italy

Pisa 49%
Draw 28%
Virtus Entella 23%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 4
52 Possession % 48
7 Corners 2
9 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 5
0 Saves 5
487 Accurate passes 495

Pisa vs Virtus Entella overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Pisa vs Virtus Entella

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPisaDrawVirtus Entella
Model36.9%29.4%33.7%
Market53.3%27.8%18.9%
Final49.2%28.2%22.6%
Edge-16.4%+1.6%+14.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Pisa

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Pisa ↓ / Virtus Entella → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 9% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 46%
No goals 9%

Pisa and Virtus Entella expected goals

Pisa 1.29
Virtus Entella 1.23

Total expected goals: 2.52

Pisa and Virtus Entella attack and defence ratings

Pisa

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 1.23 +23%

Virtus Entella

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Pisa vs Virtus Entella: result vs prediction

Pisa 1 – 4 Virtus Entella

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Italy Serie B

Before and after this match

Pisa vs Virtus Entella markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Pisa 49.2% 2.03 -16.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 53.9% 1.86 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.6% 1.90 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 77.4% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.2% 1.58 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Pisa49.2%
Draw28.2%
Virtus Entella22.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546.1%
Under 2.553.9%
Both teams to scoreYes52.6%
No47.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)77.4%
12 (either side)71.8%
X2 (draw or away)50.8%
Handicap -1Pisa win17.0%
Push (exactly one goal)19.9%
Loss63.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.0%
0-09.3%
1-09.1%

Pisa vs Virtus Entella stats

Pisa and Virtus Entella recent form

newest first
Pisa WWLDLL
Virtus Entella DLLDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Pisa vs Virtus Entella head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Pisa wins 4Draws 4Virtus Entella wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2022-07-30PisaVirtus EntellaFriendlies Clubs2-0
2021-05-10PisaVirtus EntellaSerie B3-2
2021-01-22Virtus EntellaPisaSerie B2-1
2020-10-27Virtus EntellaPisaCoppa Italia3-1
2020-07-13Virtus EntellaPisaSerie B1-1
2019-12-08PisaVirtus EntellaSerie B0-2
2019-03-02PisaVirtus EntellaSerie C - Girone A0-0
2018-11-04Virtus EntellaPisaSerie C - Girone A2-0
2017-02-04PisaVirtus EntellaSerie B1-1
2016-09-12Virtus EntellaPisaSerie B0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Pisa vs Virtus Entella odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 53.4%, draw 27.9%, away 18.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.80 3.40 4.55
1xBet 1.77 3.35 4.91
888Sport 1.75 3.25 4.80
Bet365 1.75 3.25 5.00
BetVictor 1.73 3.40 4.60
Betano 1.72 3.35 5.80
Betfair 1.75 3.20 5.50
Dafabet 1.78 3.35 5.20
Marathonbet 1.75 3.35 4.95
Pinnacle 1.80 3.39 5.42
SBO 1.77 3.02 3.96
Superbet 1.78 3.40 5.10
Unibet 1.75 3.35 5.00
William Hill 1.75 3.30 4.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.75 ▲ +0.08
X 3.35 ▼ -0.13
2 4.93 ▼ -0.87

9 snapshots recorded, from .