Italy Serie B · Full time ·Matchday 5

Cremonese vs Virtus Entella

0 – 0 Full time

18′Simone PontissoAlberto Grassi
36′Fabio Pecchia
45′Yuri RocchettiSalvatore Elia
58′Adin LičinaMarco Nasti
58′Morten ThorsbyMichele Collocolo
68′Stefano Di MarioMarwane Kritta
68′Luca VignaliTommaso Annoni
69′Federico Baschirotto
76′Tommaso BertiMilan Djuric
80′Luigi CupponeGiacomo Corona
80′Leonardo BenedettiNicolas Previtali
90′Niccolo SquizzatoM Tirelli

Stadio Giovanni Zini, CremonaReferee: Edoardo Manedo Mazzoni

Cremonese 46%
Draw 29%
Virtus Entella 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 4
54 Possession % 46
1 Corners 3
8 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 5
4 Saves 5
391 Accurate passes 327

Cremonese vs Virtus Entella overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Cremonese vs Virtus Entella

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCremoneseDrawVirtus Entella
Model44.1%26.7%29.2%
Market46.6%29.1%24.3%
Final46.0%28.5%25.5%
Edge-2.5%-2.4%+4.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Cremonese

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.61 vs 1.28.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Cremonese ↓ / Virtus Entella → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 8% 13% 7% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 55%
No goals 7%

Cremonese and Virtus Entella expected goals

Cremonese 1.61
Virtus Entella 1.28

Total expected goals: 2.89

Cremonese and Virtus Entella attack and defence ratings

Cremonese

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Virtus Entella

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Cremonese vs Virtus Entella: result vs prediction

Cremonese 0 – 0 Virtus Entella

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Italy Serie B

Before and after this match

Cremonese vs Virtus Entella markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Cremonese 46.0% 2.17 -2.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.2% 1.81 — —
Both teams to score Yes 58.9% 1.70 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 74.5% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.9% 1.79 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Cremonese46.0%
Draw28.5%
Virtus Entella25.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.2%
Under 2.544.8%
Both teams to scoreYes58.9%
No41.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.5%
12 (either side)71.5%
X2 (draw or away)54.0%
Handicap -1Cremonese win23.3%
Push (exactly one goal)20.8%
Loss55.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.6%
2-19.2%
1-07.8%

Cremonese vs Virtus Entella stats

Cremonese and Virtus Entella recent form

newest first
Cremonese DWWLLW
Virtus Entella WDLLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Cremonese vs Virtus Entella head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

3Cremonese wins 2Draws 2Virtus Entella wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2021-03-16Virtus EntellaCremoneseSerie B0-2
2020-12-05CremoneseVirtus EntellaSerie B2-1
2020-01-25Virtus EntellaCremoneseSerie B1-1
2019-08-31CremoneseVirtus EntellaSerie B0-1
2018-03-25CremoneseVirtus EntellaSerie B0-1
2017-10-24Virtus EntellaCremoneseSerie B1-1
2017-08-06Virtus EntellaCremoneseCoppa Italia0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Cremonese vs Virtus Entella odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 46.6%, draw 29.1%, away 24.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.99 3.32 3.75
Bet365 2.00 3.10 4.00
BetVictor 2.00 3.20 3.60
Betano 2.07 3.25 3.85
Betfair 1.95 3.20 3.90
Marathonbet 1.97 3.32 3.75
Pinnacle 2.10 3.37 3.84
SBO 1.75 3.10 3.94
William Hill 2.00 3.10 3.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.00 ▲ +0.13
X 3.20 ▼ -0.15
2 3.84 ▼ -0.36

14 snapshots recorded, from .