Garuda Lions
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Italy Serie B · Full time ·Matchday 5

Juve Stabia vs Cesena

1 – 1 Full time

24′Cristian Shpendi
30′Cristian Shpendi
45′Nermin KarićThomas Battistella
45′Davide BuglioFederico Artioli
55′Nicola PataneGiusepe Sibilli
55′Leonardo CandelloneFabio Maistro
59′Gianluca FrabottaVittorio Magni
65′Antonio Di Nardo
66′Matteo GuidiMatteo Francesconi
66′Antonio FioriX. Druiventak
67′Dimitri Bisoli
75′Nicola PietrangeliDavide Bettella
85′Dimitri BisoliEmil Bohinen

Stadio Romeo Menti, Castellammare di StabiaReferee: Mario Perri

Juve Stabia 42%
Draw 28%
Cesena 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

15 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 3
63 Possession % 37
6 Corners 2
11 Fouls 21
1 Offsides 3
2 Saves 2
523 Accurate passes 285

Juve Stabia vs Cesena overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Juve Stabia vs Cesena

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityJuve StabiaDrawCesena
Model42.8%28.5%28.7%
Market42.2%28.1%29.6%
Final42.4%28.2%29.4%
Edge+0.5%+0.4%-0.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Juve Stabia

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.45 vs 1.15.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Juve Stabia ↓ / Cesena → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 7% 1 10% 14% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 48%
No goals 9%

Juve Stabia and Cesena expected goals

Juve Stabia 1.45
Cesena 1.15

Total expected goals: 2.60

Juve Stabia and Cesena attack and defence ratings

Juve Stabia

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 1.18 +18%

Cesena

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 1.17 +17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Juve Stabia vs Cesena: result vs prediction

Juve Stabia 1 – 1 Cesena

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Italy Serie B

Before and after this match

Juve Stabia vs Cesena markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Juve Stabia 42.4% 2.36 +0.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 51.8% 1.93 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.6% 1.87 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.8% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.2% 1.75 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Juve Stabia42.4%
Draw28.2%
Cesena29.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.548.2%
Under 2.551.8%
Both teams to scoreYes53.6%
No46.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.6%
12 (either side)71.8%
X2 (draw or away)57.6%
Handicap -1Juve Stabia win21.4%
Push (exactly one goal)21.4%
Loss57.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.6%
1-09.5%
2-19.0%

Juve Stabia vs Cesena stats

Juve Stabia and Cesena recent form

newest first
Juve Stabia DLWLLL
Cesena DDWDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Juve Stabia vs Cesena head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3Juve Stabia wins 2Draws 0Cesena wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-11Juve StabiaCesenaItaly Serie B2-0
2025-12-20CesenaJuve StabiaItaly Serie B1-1
2025-03-30CesenaJuve StabiaSerie B1-2
2024-12-22Juve StabiaCesenaSerie B1-0
2024-05-19CesenaJuve StabiaSerie C - Supercoppa Lega Finals2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Juve Stabia vs Cesena odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 42.2%, draw 28.1%, away 29.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.22 3.32 3.15
Bet365 2.25 3.10 3.40
BetVictor 2.15 3.40 3.00
Betano 2.30 3.35 3.15
Betfair 2.20 3.25 3.20
Marathonbet 2.20 3.32 3.14
Pinnacle 2.29 3.38 3.32
SBO 2.21 3.10 2.98
William Hill 2.20 3.10 3.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.21 ▲ +0.16
X 3.32 ▼ -0.08
2 3.15 ▼ -0.31

14 snapshots recorded, from .